WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Kartal vs Bencic: prediction and tips

·

Sonay KartalWTA #170Elo 1959hard 1932
-:-
Belinda BencicWTA #12Elo 2045hard 2020

Our tips

Tip in 11m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Sonay Kartal31%
Belinda Bencic69%

Elo: S. Kartal 38% · B. Bencic 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Kartal18%
2:1 S. Kartal15%
2:1 B. Bencic21%
2:0 B. Bencic46%

First set

Sonay Kartal35%
Belinda Bencic65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.568%32%64%
19.560%40%56%
20.553%48%49%
21.547%53%44%
22.540%60%38%
23.536%64%34%

Sample: 2,001 matches

Games handicap

Belinda Bencic −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. KartalTourB. Bencic
Service points won61%56%61%
Return points won45%44%45%
Service games held71%63%74%
Breaks of serve39%37%38%
Aces per service game0.240.22
Double faults per game0.130.30
Sets with a tie-break13%10%
Tie-breaks won3/77/10
Wins in straight sets75%76%
Matches in the sample2442

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sonay Kartal

Belinda Bencic

Elo over the last year

Sonay KartalBelinda Bencic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. KartalB. Bencic
Hard court16–867%18–869%
Clay0–08–467%
Grass0–03–175%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Sonay Kartal

Belinda Bencic

First match in this tournament.