WTA WuhanWTA 1000Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Kasatkina vs Golubic 2:1: result and our tips

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Daria KasatkinaWTA #82Elo 1802hard 1769
2:1final4:6 7:6(3) 6:4
Viktorija GolubicWTA #72Elo 1838hard 1798

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Kasatkina 13 of 20, Golubic 14 of 20 (tour average 55%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Won43%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Kasatkina 11 of 20, Golubic 12 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daria Kasatkina50%
Viktorija Golubic50%

Elo: D. Kasatkina 46% · V. Golubic 54%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Kasatkina31%
2:1 D. Kasatkina19%
2:1 V. Golubic19%
2:0 V. Golubic31%

First set

Daria Kasatkina50%
Viktorija Golubic50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,215 matches

Games handicap

Daria Kasatkina −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 33 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Daria KasatkinaViktorija Golubic
0Aces2
10Double faults5
74%First serves in84%
53%First-serve points won43%
26%Second-serve points won47%
10/15Break points converted10/24
6/16Service games held6/16
46%Service points won44%
56%Return points won54%
116Total points won112

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. KasatkinaTourV. Golubic
Service points won53%56%55%
Return points won48%44%46%
Service games held58%63%64%
Breaks of serve44%37%41%
Aces per service game0.170.08
Double faults per game0.550.23
Sets with a tie-break14%10%
Tie-breaks won5/144/15
Wins in straight sets55%50%
Matches in the sample4059

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daria Kasatkina

Viktorija Golubic

Elo over the last year

Daria KasatkinaViktorija Golubic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. KasatkinaV. Golubic
Hard court7–1139%19–1753%
Clay11–569%8–562%
Grass2–433%7–370%

Head to head

They have not met yet.