WTA NingboWTA 500Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Kawa vs Snigur 2:1: result and our tips

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Katarzyna KawaWTA #128Elo 1634hard 1522
2:1final1:6 6:2 6:4
Daria SnigurWTA #40Elo 1912hard 1891

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 17.5Won74%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kawa: 11 matches in a row over 17.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: SnigurLost74%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 74%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kawa lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Katarzyna Kawa26%
Daria Snigur74%

Elo: K. Kawa 11% · D. Snigur 89%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Kawa15%
2:1 K. Kawa13%
2:1 D. Snigur21%
2:0 D. Snigur52%

First set

Katarzyna Kawa31%
Daria Snigur69%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%72%
18.565%35%64%
19.557%43%56%
20.550%50%49%
21.545%55%44%
22.539%62%38%
23.535%66%34%

Sample: 1,743 matches

Games handicap

Daria Snigur −4.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.0in · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Katarzyna KawaDaria Snigur
3Aces1
14Double faults3
47%First serves in78%
69%First-serve points won59%
36%Second-serve points won26%
6/16Break points converted6/21
7/13Service games held6/12
51%Service points won52%
48%Return points won49%
101Total points won102

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. KawaTourD. Snigur
Service points won54%56%57%
Return points won47%44%48%
Service games held60%63%67%
Breaks of serve44%37%44%
Aces per service game0.180.13
Double faults per game0.360.27
Sets with a tie-break7%9%
Tie-breaks won5/96/10
Wins in straight sets64%72%
Matches in the sample5252

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Katarzyna Kawa

Daria Snigur

Elo over the last year

Katarzyna KawaDaria Snigur

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. KawaD. Snigur
Hard court6–1038%25–1071%
Clay20–1361%5–363%
Grass2–167%6–367%

Head to head

K. Kawa 1–2 D. Snigur

  • 18/10/26Winner: Katarzyna Kawa6:1 2:0
  • 30/09/26Winner: Daria Snigur6:3 4:6 5:7
  • 13/01/26Winner: Daria Snigur1:6 6:2 2:6

Road through the tournament

Katarzyna Kawa

Daria Snigur

See also