WTA WuhanWTA 1000Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Kenin vs Rakhimova 0:2: result and our tips

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Sofia KeninWTA #125Elo 1722hard 1695
0:2final0:6 3:6
Kamilla RakhimovaWTA #69Elo 1790hard 1778

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Kenin 15 of 20, Rakhimova 15 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Lost43%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Kenin 11 of 20, Rakhimova 11 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sofia Kenin42%
Kamilla Rakhimova59%

Elo: S. Kenin 38% · K. Rakhimova 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Kenin27%
2:1 S. Kenin18%
2:1 K. Rakhimova21%
2:0 K. Rakhimova35%

First set

Sofia Kenin46%
Kamilla Rakhimova54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,387 matches

Games handicap

Kamilla Rakhimova −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Sofia KeninKamilla Rakhimova
2Aces6
6Double faults6
63%First serves in56%
45%First-serve points won60%
23%Second-serve points won45%
3/13Break points converted7/11
0/7Service games held5/8
37%Service points won53%
47%Return points won63%
53Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. KeninTourK. Rakhimova
Service points won56%56%56%
Return points won40%44%45%
Service games held65%63%64%
Breaks of serve26%37%38%
Aces per service game0.150.16
Double faults per game0.400.44
Sets with a tie-break13%13%
Tie-breaks won5/117/19
Wins in straight sets60%53%
Matches in the sample3660

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sofia Kenin

Kamilla Rakhimova

Elo over the last year

Sofia KeninKamilla Rakhimova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. KeninK. Rakhimova
Hard court6–1726%25–2154%
Clay2–529%2–529%
Grass2–433%3–443%

Head to head

They have not met yet.