WTA 125 SuzhouRound of 32hardbest of three sets
Khomutsianskaya vs Grant 2:1: result and our tips
·
2:1final6:2 5:7 7:5
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Darya Khomutsianskaya36%
Tyra Caterina Grant64%
Elo: D. Khomutsianskaya 62% · T. Grant 38%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 D. Khomutsianskaya22%
2:1 D. Khomutsianskaya16%
2:1 T. Grant22%
2:0 T. Grant40%
First set
Darya Khomutsianskaya41%
Tyra Caterina Grant59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 63% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 55% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 48% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 43% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,264 matches
Games handicap
Tyra Caterina Grant −3.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 22%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 21.0in · 32 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Darya Khomutsianskaya | Tyra Caterina Grant | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aces | 5 |
| 2 | Double faults | 10 |
| 63% | First serves in | 58% |
| 71% | First-serve points won | 63% |
| 57% | Second-serve points won | 57% |
| 5/14 | Break points converted | 3/6 |
| 13/16 | Service games held | 11/16 |
| 66% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 34% |
| 105 | Total points won | 94 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Khomutsianskaya | Tour | T. Grant | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 72% | 63% | 66% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 37% | 37% |
| Aces per service game | 0.24 | 0.27 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.44 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 6% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/1 | 3/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 7 | 22 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Darya Khomutsianskaya
- 05/10/26WKatarina Zavatska#248WTA 125 Suzhou · Q26:4 6:1
- 04/10/26WYujia Huang#416WTA 125 Suzhou · Q14:6 6:4 7:6
- 29/09/26LAlevtina Ibragimova#169WTA 125 Jingshan · R326:3 4:6 5:7
- 16/07/26LTatiana Prozorova#117WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · R164:6 3:6
- 14/07/26WPriska Madelyn Nugroho#370WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · R326:4 6:1
- 13/07/26WYing Zhang#698WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · Q21:6 6:4 7:5
- 12/07/26WSaumya VigWTA 125 Istanbul 2 · Q16:0 6:0
Tyra Caterina Grant
- 29/09/26LAliona Falei#197WTA 125 Jingshan · R324:6 1:6
- 26/08/26LHimeno Sakatsume#115WTA US Open · Q27:5 2:6 3:6
- 24/08/26WSavannah Broadus#303WTA US Open · Q16:2 6:4
- 14/07/26LMartina Trevisan#301WTA 125 Rome · R320:6 3:6
- 02/07/26LMarie Bouzková#28WTA Wimbledon · R645:7 3:6
- 30/06/26WKatie Boulter#54WTA Wimbledon · R1286:4 6:2
- 25/06/26WHarmony Tan#223WTA Wimbledon · Q36:4 7:6
- 24/06/26WJoanna Garland#147WTA Wimbledon · Q26:4 6:4
- 23/06/26WTaylah Preston#86WTA Wimbledon · Q16:1 2:6 6:4
- 07/06/26LLeyre Romero Gormaz#139WTA 125 Foggia · F5:7 6:0 2:6
Elo over the last year
Darya KhomutsianskayaTyra Caterina Grant
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Khomutsianskaya | T. Grant | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 5–271% | 2–340% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 8–467% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 4–180% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Darya Khomutsianskaya
- 04/10/26WYujia Huang#416WTA 125 Suzhou · Q14:6 6:4 7:6
- 05/10/26WKatarina Zavatska#248WTA 125 Suzhou · Q26:4 6:1
Tyra Caterina Grant
First match in this tournament.