WTA 125 RoveretoRound of 32hardbest of three sets

Koevermans vs Andreeva 2:1: result and our tips

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Anouk KoevermansWTA #249Elo 1604hard 1597
2:1final5:7 6:1 6:4
Erika AndreevaWTA #181Elo 1606hard 1600

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Lost63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Koevermans 18 of 20, Andreeva 16 of 20 (tour average 67%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Koevermans 18 of 20, Andreeva 16 of 20 (tour average 67%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Andreeva 2-0Lost41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Koevermans lost 0-2 in 10 of the last 20 matches, Andreeva won 2-0 in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Anouk Koevermans39%
Erika Andreeva61%

Elo: A. Koevermans 50% · E. Andreeva 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Koevermans22%
2:1 A. Koevermans17%
2:1 E. Andreeva21%
2:0 E. Andreeva41%

First set

Anouk Koevermans40%
Erika Andreeva60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%60%
19.559%41%53%
20.553%47%46%
21.548%52%41%
22.542%58%36%
23.538%63%33%
24.535%65%30%

Sample: 2,383 matches

Games handicap

Erika Andreeva −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Anouk KoevermansErika Andreeva
5Aces4
6Double faults1
76%First serves in84%
69%First-serve points won59%
46%Second-serve points won46%
4/6Break points converted2/6
13/15Service games held10/14
63%Service points won57%
43%Return points won37%
94Total points won81

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. KoevermansTourE. Andreeva
Service points won57%56%57%
Return points won44%44%45%
Service games held67%63%66%
Breaks of serve34%37%37%
Aces per service game0.350.24
Double faults per game0.440.23
Sets with a tie-break11%10%
Tie-breaks won2/62/5
Wins in straight sets92%67%
Matches in the sample2522

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Anouk Koevermans

Erika Andreeva

Elo over the last year

Anouk KoevermansErika Andreeva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. KoevermansE. Andreeva
Hard court10–759%7–654%
Clay1–420%4–450%
Grass1–233%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Anouk Koevermans

Erika Andreeva

See also