WTA OsakaWTA 250Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Koike vs Day 0:2: result and our tips

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Ena KoikeWTA #320Elo 1392hard 1383
0:2final5:7 3:6
Kayla DayWTA #119Elo 1657hard 1623

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ena Koike16%
Kayla Day84%

Elo: E. Koike 20% · K. Day 80%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Koike8%
2:1 E. Koike8%
2:1 K. Day21%
2:0 K. Day64%

First set

Ena Koike22%
Kayla Day78%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 53%market (no margin): 48%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.576%24%82%
17.565%35%72%
18.555%45%63%
19.547%53%55%
20.540%60%49%
21.537%63%44%
22.532%68%38%

Sample: 1,178 matches

Games handicap

Kayla Day −5.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Ena KoikeKayla Day
1Aces4
5Double faults2
85%First serves in90%
58%First-serve points won67%
40%Second-serve points won17%
2/6Break points converted5/9
6/11Service games held8/10
55%Service points won62%
38%Return points won45%
59Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. KoikeTourK. Day
Service points won56%56%59%
Return points won42%44%44%
Service games held63%63%70%
Breaks of serve32%37%35%
Aces per service game0.250.41
Double faults per game0.490.32
Sets with a tie-break0%13%
Tie-breaks won0/04/9
Wins in straight sets100%88%
Matches in the sample430

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ena Koike

Kayla Day

Elo over the last year

Ena KoikeKayla Day

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. KoikeK. Day
Hard court1–325%10–953%
Clay0–02–250%
Grass0–04–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.