Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Kolar vs Bondioli 1:2: result and our tips

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Zdenek KolarATP #206Elo 1658clay 1661
1:2final6:4 3:6 2:6
Federico BondioliATP #326Elo 1701clay 1711

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Zdenek Kolar60%
Federico Bondioli40%

Elo: Z. Kolar 43% · F. Bondioli 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Z. Kolar39%
2:1 Z. Kolar22%
2:1 F. Bondioli17%
2:0 F. Bondioli22%

First set

Zdenek Kolar59%
Federico Bondioli41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%31%68%
19.562%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,893 matches

Games handicap

Zdenek Kolar −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Zdenek KolarFederico Bondioli
4Aces8
8Double faults1
53%First serves in57%
69%First-serve points won72%
50%Second-serve points won56%
2/6Break points converted4/6
9/13Service games held12/14
60%Service points won65%
35%Return points won40%
73Total points won83

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Z. KolarTourF. Bondioli
Service points won60%62%60%
Return points won40%38%39%
Service games held72%76%73%
Breaks of serve28%24%26%
Aces per service game0.210.31
Double faults per game0.350.29
Sets with a tie-break15%17%
Tie-breaks won11/248/16
Wins in straight sets77%56%
Matches in the sample7139

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Zdenek Kolar

Federico Bondioli

  • 13/10/26LEnrico Dalla Valle#303Challenger Catania · R321:6 7:5 6:7
  • 31/08/26LFederico Arnaboldi#469Challenger Como · R324:2
  • 19/07/26LMax Alcala Gurri#132Challenger Cordenons · F2:6 0:6
  • 18/07/26WMatyas Fuele#622Challenger Cordenons · SF6:2 6:4
  • 17/07/26WSumit Nagal#281Challenger Cordenons · QF1:6 7:5 6:3
  • 15/07/26WGuido Ivan Justo#184Challenger Cordenons · R166:3 7:6
  • 14/07/26WAlvaro Guillen Meza#345Challenger Cordenons · R326:7 6:3 7:6
  • 10/07/26LHenry Bernet#364Challenger Trieste · QF6:2 6:7 3:6
  • 09/07/26WMaxim Mrva#234Challenger Trieste · R167:5 6:0
  • 07/07/26WJoel Schwaerzler#173Challenger Trieste · R323:6 6:3 7:5

Elo over the last year

Zdenek KolarFederico Bondioli

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Z. KolarF. Bondioli
Hard court5–742%1–325%
Clay30–2852%17–1750%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.