ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 128hardbest of three sets

Kopriva vs Bergs 0:2: result and our tips

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Vit KoprivaATP #68Elo 1817hard 1770
0:2final3:6 1:6
Zizou BergsATP #39Elo 1924hard 1867

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: BergsWon72%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kopriva lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won31%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Kopriva 10 of 20, Bergs 10 of 20 (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Vit Kopriva27%
Zizou Bergs73%

Elo: V. Kopriva 36% · Z. Bergs 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Kopriva15%
2:1 V. Kopriva13%
2:1 Z. Bergs23%
2:0 Z. Bergs50%

First set

Vit Kopriva32%
Zizou Bergs68%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%67%
20.561%39%59%
21.555%45%54%
22.547%53%45%
23.540%60%39%
24.538%62%38%
25.535%65%34%

Sample: 4,141 matches

Games handicap

Zizou Bergs −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Vit KoprivaZizou Bergs
2Aces7
3Double faults1
59%First serves in70%
58%First-serve points won83%
35%Second-serve points won62%
0/0Break points converted4/14
4/8Service games held8/8
48%Service points won77%
23%Return points won52%
41Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. KoprivaTourZ. Bergs
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won38%38%37%
Service games held74%76%79%
Breaks of serve25%24%22%
Aces per service game0.350.55
Double faults per game0.290.37
Sets with a tie-break11%17%
Tie-breaks won6/176/21
Wins in straight sets70%46%
Matches in the sample6447

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Vit Kopriva

Zizou Bergs

Elo over the last year

Vit KoprivaZizou Bergs

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. KoprivaZ. Bergs
Hard court14–1745%8–1535%
Clay14–1450%7–750%
Grass2–340%7–370%

Head to head

V. Kopriva 1–0 Z. Bergs

  • 08/07/21Winner: Vit Kopriva3:6 6:0 7:5