ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Kotov vs Vukic 2:0: result and our tips

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Pavel KotovATP #187Elo 1817hard 1831
2:0final6:3 6:3
Aleksandar VukicATP #115Elo 1820hard 1808

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Pavel Kotov59%
Aleksandar Vukic41%

Elo: P. Kotov 53% · A. Vukic 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Kotov37%
2:1 P. Kotov21%
2:1 A. Vukic17%
2:0 A. Vukic24%

First set

Pavel Kotov56%
Aleksandar Vukic44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.568%32%56%
21.560%40%51%
22.555%45%43%
23.547%53%37%
24.542%58%36%
25.540%60%32%
26.536%64%28%

Sample: 5,748 matches

Games handicap

Pavel Kotov −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes48%

tour average 34%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 23.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Pavel KotovAleksandar Vukic
5Aces3
0Double faults2
72%First serves in59%
68%First-serve points won67%
81%Second-serve points won52%
3/5Break points converted0/3
9/9Service games held6/9
72%Service points won61%
39%Return points won28%
61Total points won47

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. KotovTourA. Vukic
Service points won67%62%63%
Return points won37%38%35%
Service games held83%76%79%
Breaks of serve21%24%17%
Aces per service game0.550.61
Double faults per game0.190.17
Sets with a tie-break23%24%
Tie-breaks won19/2621/36
Wins in straight sets55%52%
Matches in the sample4861

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pavel Kotov

Aleksandar Vukic

Elo over the last year

Pavel KotovAleksandar Vukic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. KotovA. Vukic
Hard court31–1076%23–2053%
Clay2–529%2–820%
Grass0–04–450%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Pavel Kotov

Aleksandar Vukic

  • 05/10/26WJie Cui#420ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:6 7:6