Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Kovac vs Gulin 0:2: result and our tips

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Tilen KovacElo 1500clay 1500
0:2final1:6 1:6
Svyatoslav GulinATP #572Elo 1693clay 1703

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tilen Kovac2%
Svyatoslav Gulin98%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Kovac1%
2:1 T. Kovac2%
2:1 S. Gulin9%
2:0 S. Gulin88%

First set

Tilen Kovac6%
Svyatoslav Gulin94%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes11%
no90%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 16.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 16.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 17.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.586%15%98%
14.575%25%96%
15.560%40%91%
16.547%53%84%
17.536%64%76%
18.529%71%68%
19.523%77%59%

Sample: 833 matches

Games handicap

Svyatoslav Gulin −7.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes10%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 16.5in · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Tilen KovacSvyatoslav Gulin
3Aces3
7Double faults0
45%First serves in68%
57%First-serve points won77%
27%Second-serve points won67%
0/0Break points converted5/6
2/7Service games held7/7
40%Service points won74%
26%Return points won60%
29Total points won56

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. KovacTourS. Gulin
Service points won—62%62%
Return points won—38%41%
Service games held—76%75%
Breaks of serve—24%30%
Aces per service game—0.33
Double faults per game—0.21
Sets with a tie-break—14%
Tie-breaks won—7/14
Wins in straight sets—76%
Matches in the sample—45

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tilen Kovac

No matches on record.

Svyatoslav Gulin

  • 28/09/26LFederico Arnaboldi#478Challenger Bari · Q24:6 2:4
  • 27/09/26WLuis Carlos Alvarez Valdes#933Challenger Bari · Q17:5 6:1
  • 21/09/26LPavel Lagutin#410Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:7 0:3
  • 20/09/26WRyo Tabata#953Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q17:6 6:1
  • 08/09/26LLukas Neumayer#180Challenger Tulln · R324:6 2:6
  • 07/09/26WAndrej Martin#387Challenger Tulln · Q27:6 6:4
  • 06/09/26WRudolf Molleker#535Challenger Tulln · Q17:5 7:6
  • 31/08/26LNorbert Gombos#355Challenger Como · Q26:7 3:6
  • 30/08/26WRudolf Molleker#535Challenger Como · Q16:3 1:6 6:3
  • 26/08/26LMartin Krumich#257Challenger Augsburg · R166:4 4:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Tilen KovacSvyatoslav Gulin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. KovacS. Gulin
Hard court0–05–550%
Clay0–020–1557%

Head to head

They have not met yet.