WTA 125 MallorcaRound of 32claybest of three sets

Kovacevic vs Geerlings Martinez 0:2: result and our tips

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Tea KovacevicElo 1414clay 1415
0:2final2:6 4:6
Ariana Geerlings MartinezWTA #505Elo 1518clay 1509

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tea Kovacevic6%
Ariana Geerlings Martinez94%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Kovacevic3%
2:1 T. Kovacevic3%
2:1 A. Geerlings Martinez13%
2:0 A. Geerlings Martinez81%

First set

Tea Kovacevic11%
Ariana Geerlings Martinez89%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes16%
no84%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 17.0 · 46%market (no margin): 50%

The 17.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 18.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.589%11%97%
14.580%20%93%
15.567%33%87%
16.554%46%78%
17.543%57%69%
18.534%66%60%
19.528%72%52%

Sample: 522 matches

Games handicap

Ariana Geerlings Martinez −7.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes11%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 17.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tea KovacevicAriana Geerlings Martinez
0Aces1
2Double faults0
79%First serves in61%
50%First-serve points won67%
43%Second-serve points won67%
2/7Break points converted5/11
4/9Service games held7/9
49%Service points won67%
33%Return points won52%
51Total points won71

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tea Kovacevic

Ariana Geerlings Martinez

  • 15/09/26LAne Mintegi Del Olmo#207WTA 125 Valencia · R321:6 4:6
  • 15/07/25LAstra Sharma#576WTA Hamburg · R326:7 6:3 2:6
  • 14/07/25WElena Malygina#265WTA Hamburg · Q26:3 6:2
  • 13/07/25WSofia Shapatava#510WTA Hamburg · Q16:7 6:2 6:3
  • 11/06/25LSolana Sierra#101WTA 125 Valencia · R161:6 1:6
  • 10/06/25WLaura Pigossi#243WTA 125 Valencia · R326:4 6:3
  • 09/06/25WDiletta Cherubini#397WTA 125 Valencia · Q26:2 6:2
  • 08/06/25WAoi Ito#344WTA 125 Valencia · Q17:6 3:6 6:2
  • 21/04/25LAntonia Ruzic#93WTA Madrid · Q14:6 2:6
  • 08/06/24LLucia Cortez Llorca#395WTA 125 Valencia · Q16:2 2:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Tea KovacevicAriana Geerlings Martinez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. KovacevicA. Geerlings Martinez
Clay0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.