WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Krueger vs Tjen 2:0: result and our tips

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Ashlyn KruegerWTA #55Elo 1857hard 1807
2:0finalrebuilt6:4 6:4
Janice TjenWTA #46Elo 1781hard 1781

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Krueger: 15 matches in a row under 25.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Krueger 16 of 20, Tjen 14 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Krueger 2-0Won33%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Krueger won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches, Tjen lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ashlyn Krueger56%
Janice Tjen44%

Elo: A. Krueger 54% · J. Tjen 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Krueger33%
2:1 A. Krueger20%
2:1 J. Tjen18%
2:0 J. Tjen29%

First set

Ashlyn Krueger52%
Janice Tjen48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,389 matches

Games handicap

Ashlyn Krueger −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 23%

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Ashlyn KruegerJanice Tjen
4Aces8
1Double faults4
78%First serves in61%
80%First-serve points won78%
82%Second-serve points won42%
2/6Break points converted0/1
10/10Service games held8/10
80%Service points won64%
36%Return points won20%
65Total points won52

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. KruegerTourJ. Tjen
Service points won58%56%59%
Return points won44%44%40%
Service games held70%63%69%
Breaks of serve35%37%26%
Aces per service game0.420.35
Double faults per game0.420.33
Sets with a tie-break10%20%
Tie-breaks won7/1313/23
Wins in straight sets64%67%
Matches in the sample5549

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ashlyn Krueger

Janice Tjen

Elo over the last year

Ashlyn KruegerJanice Tjen

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. KruegerJ. Tjen
Hard court12–1544%17–1849%
Clay5–550%2–529%
Grass16–289%2–529%

Head to head

A. Krueger 1–0 J. Tjen

  • 04/06/26Winner: Ashlyn Krueger6:1 6:3