WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Krueger vs Zhang 2:0: result and our tips

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Ashlyn KruegerWTA #68Elo 1836hard 1780
2:0final6:3 6:0
Shuai ZhangWTA #81Elo 1742hard 1725

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Krueger: 12 matches in a row under 25.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Krueger: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No tie-break in recent matches: Krueger 17 of 20, Zhang 17 of 20 (tour average 78%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won45%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Krueger 13 of 20, Zhang 12 of 20 (tour average 51%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ashlyn Krueger58%
Shuai Zhang42%

Elo: A. Krueger 58% · S. Zhang 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Krueger35%
2:1 A. Krueger21%
2:1 S. Zhang18%
2:0 S. Zhang27%

First set

Ashlyn Krueger53%
Shuai Zhang47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,406 matches

Games handicap

Ashlyn Krueger −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Ashlyn KruegerShuai Zhang
9Aces0
2Double faults2
58%First serves in56%
71%First-serve points won46%
40%Second-serve points won25%
6/9Break points converted2/10
6/8Service games held1/7
58%Service points won37%
63%Return points won42%
63Total points won42

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. KruegerTourS. Zhang
Service points won59%56%57%
Return points won43%44%42%
Service games held70%63%66%
Breaks of serve33%37%33%
Aces per service game0.420.19
Double faults per game0.410.25
Sets with a tie-break11%5%
Tie-breaks won7/136/7
Wins in straight sets65%63%
Matches in the sample5457

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ashlyn Krueger

Shuai Zhang

Elo over the last year

Ashlyn KruegerShuai Zhang

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. KruegerS. Zhang
Hard court10–1638%17–1750%
Clay5–550%5–936%
Grass16–289%5–456%

Head to head

A. Krueger 1–1 S. Zhang

  • 05/01/26Winner: Shuai Zhang4:6 7:5 4:6
  • 27/08/24Winner: Ashlyn Krueger0:6 6:1 7:5

Road through the tournament

Ashlyn Krueger

Shuai Zhang

First match in this tournament.