Challenger BragaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Krutykh vs Barranco Cosano 2:1: result and our tips

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Oleksii KrutykhATP #456Elo 1641clay 1638
2:1final1:6 6:4 6:4
Javier Barranco CosanoATP #577Elo 1648clay 1640

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Lost65%

Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 65%

Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Krutykh 17 of 20, Barranco Cosano 13 of 17 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Krutykh 16 of 20, Barranco Cosano 13 of 17 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost41%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 41%

Barranco Cosano: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games; Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Krutykh 9 of 20, Barranco Cosano 10 of 17 (tour average 41%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Oleksii Krutykh58%
Javier Barranco Cosano42%

Elo: O. Krutykh 50% · J. Barranco Cosano 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Krutykh37%
2:1 O. Krutykh21%
2:1 J. Barranco Cosano18%
2:0 J. Barranco Cosano24%

First set

Oleksii Krutykh57%
Javier Barranco Cosano43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%25%76%
18.567%33%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.540%61%36%

Sample: 4,793 matches

Games handicap

Oleksii Krutykh −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Oleksii KrutykhJavier Barranco Cosano
3Aces1
7Double faults7
66%First serves in73%
58%First-serve points won62%
47%Second-serve points won32%
6/10Break points converted6/11
7/13Service games held8/14
54%Service points won54%
46%Return points won46%
90Total points won90

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. KrutykhTourJ. Barranco Cosano
Service points won64%62%58%
Return points won42%38%43%
Service games held79%76%69%
Breaks of serve32%24%36%
Aces per service game0.260.20
Double faults per game0.230.41
Sets with a tie-break11%7%
Tie-breaks won4/71/3
Wins in straight sets74%58%
Matches in the sample2821

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Oleksii Krutykh

  • 05/10/26WFilip Pieczonka#905Challenger Braga · Q26:2 4:6 6:0
  • 04/10/26WFrancisco Rocha#901Challenger Braga · Q16:7 6:2 6:2
  • 07/09/26LMassimo Giunta#390Challenger Genoa · Q26:4 5:7 3:6
  • 06/09/26WStefan Popovic#642Challenger Genoa · Q17:5 6:4
  • 25/08/26LMatias Soto#252Challenger Augsburg · R323:6 4:6
  • 24/08/26WFederico Iannaccone#587Challenger Augsburg · Q26:4 6:2
  • 23/08/26WKasra Rahmani#732Challenger Augsburg · Q16:2 7:6
  • 20/08/26LChun Hsin Tseng#225Challenger Prague · QF2:6 4:6
  • 19/08/26WNick Hardt#281Challenger Prague · R166:3 6:0
  • 18/08/26WDaniel Siniakov#519Challenger Prague · R326:3 6:4

Javier Barranco Cosano

  • 05/10/26WNicolas Barrientos#948Challenger Braga · Q26:3 1:0
  • 04/10/26WHugo MaiaChallenger Braga · Q16:2 6:0
  • 21/09/26LJohn Sperle#667Challenger Genoa 2 · Q26:7 2:1
  • 20/09/26WElia RuffinoChallenger Genoa 2 · Q16:2 6:3
  • 19/08/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#326Challenger Prague · R164:6 3:6
  • 18/08/26WMartin Krumich#257Challenger Prague · R322:6 6:4 6:4
  • 17/08/26WAndrej Martin#387Challenger Prague · Q26:4 5:7 6:4
  • 16/08/26WMatyas KozlovskyChallenger Prague · Q17:5 6:4
  • 10/03/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#291Challenger Hersonissos 2 · R322:6 2:4
  • 09/03/26WDimitris Azoidis#821Challenger Hersonissos 2 · Q26:0 6:2

Elo over the last year

Oleksii KrutykhJavier Barranco Cosano

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. KrutykhJ. Barranco Cosano
Hard court0–06–650%
Clay19–968%6–367%

Head to head

O. Krutykh 0–1 J. Barranco Cosano

  • 25/09/23Winner: Javier Barranco Cosano5:7 6:3 3:6

Road through the tournament

Oleksii Krutykh

Javier Barranco Cosano

  • 04/10/26WHugo MaiaChallenger Braga · Q16:2 6:0
  • 05/10/26WNicolas Barrientos#948Challenger Braga · Q26:3 1:0