Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Kuzmanov vs Peniston 2:0: result and our tips

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Dimitar KuzmanovATP #367Elo 1678hard 1651
2:0final6:4 6:3
Ryan PenistonATP #541Elo 1557hard 1542

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: KuzmanovWon64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 64%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Peniston lost 9 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 53% → with the players' profiles 59%

    Kuzmanov: 5 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won41%

Where the number comes from: market alone 33% → with the players' profiles 41%

Kuzmanov: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dimitar Kuzmanov64%
Ryan Peniston36%

Elo: D. Kuzmanov 65% · R. Peniston 35%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Kuzmanov42%
2:1 D. Kuzmanov22%
2:1 R. Peniston15%
2:0 R. Peniston21%

First set

Dimitar Kuzmanov60%
Ryan Peniston40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%71%
19.560%40%62%
20.555%45%54%
21.548%52%49%
22.542%59%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 5,512 matches

Games handicap

Dimitar Kuzmanov −2.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Dimitar KuzmanovRyan Peniston
1Aces0
1Double faults0
64%First serves in87%
86%First-serve points won67%
55%Second-serve points won43%
2/2Break points converted0/1
10/10Service games held7/9
75%Service points won64%
37%Return points won26%
60Total points won47

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. KuzmanovTourR. Peniston
Service points won61%62%58%
Return points won41%38%42%
Service games held73%76%66%
Breaks of serve32%24%29%
Aces per service game0.220.22
Double faults per game0.160.37
Sets with a tie-break8%15%
Tie-breaks won4/122/7
Wins in straight sets65%50%
Matches in the sample6719

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

  • 30/09/26LVitaliy Sachko#172Challenger Bari · R163:6 1:6
  • 29/09/26WGeoffrey Blancaneaux#447Challenger Bari · R326:3 6:0
  • 11/09/26LHarold Mayot#186Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF4:6 2:6
  • 09/09/26WVadym Ursu#405Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:4 7:5
  • 08/09/26WFaris Zakaria#544Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:1 6:3
  • 03/09/26LMiguel Damas#349Challenger Porto · R165:7 6:3 6:7
  • 01/09/26WAlafia Ayeni#448Challenger Porto · R326:2 1:6 6:3
  • 31/08/26WMaxime Janvier#640Challenger Porto · Q26:4 4:6 6:2
  • 30/08/26WJose FreitasChallenger Porto · Q16:0 6:1
  • 20/08/26LLorenzo Giustino#216Challenger Sion · QF3:6 7:5 1:6

Ryan Peniston

  • 28/09/26LFilippo Romano#306Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q22:6 3:6
  • 27/09/26WJelle Sels#579Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:4 6:1
  • 20/09/26LDaniel Jade#621Challenger Saint Tropez · Q17:6 2:6 2:6
  • 07/09/26LDaniil Glinka#178Challenger Cassis · R326:7 2:6
  • 31/08/26LCarl Emil Overbeck#295Challenger Manacor · Q12:6 3:6
  • 24/08/26LIvan Ivanov#494Challenger Roehampton 2 · R320:6 6:3 4:6
  • 10/02/26LHynek Barton#288Challenger Tenerife 2 · R326:7 6:4 3:6
  • 27/01/26LColeman Wong#101Challenger Manama · R323:6 2:6
  • 20/01/26LHyeon Chung#558Challenger Phan Thiet · R324:6 4:6
  • 13/01/26LRoman Andres Burruchaga#62ATP Australian Open · Q11:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Dimitar KuzmanovRyan Peniston

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. KuzmanovR. Peniston
Hard court14–1352%6–1332%
Clay23–1757%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.