Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Lagutin vs Parisca Romera 2:0: result and our tips

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Pavel LagutinATP #410Elo 1671clay 1664
2:0final6:3 6:0
Ignacio Parisca RomeraATP #650Elo 1489clay 1479

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 21.5Won57%

Where the number comes from: market alone 51% → with the players' profiles 57%

Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Lagutin 10 of 16, Parisca Romera 9 of 12 (tour average 53%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: LagutinWon73%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Lagutin won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Pavel Lagutin73%
Ignacio Parisca Romera27%

Elo: P. Lagutin 74% · I. Parisca Romera 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Lagutin50%
2:1 P. Lagutin23%
2:1 I. Parisca Romera13%
2:0 I. Parisca Romera15%

First set

Pavel Lagutin67%
Ignacio Parisca Romera33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 56%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%28%76%
18.563%37%68%
19.556%44%59%
20.550%50%52%
21.543%57%47%
22.538%62%40%
23.536%64%36%

Sample: 3,452 matches

Games handicap

Pavel Lagutin −4.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes20%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 19.5out · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Pavel LagutinIgnacio Parisca Romera
—Aces—
1Double faults5
78%First serves in49%
74%First-serve points won61%
56%Second-serve points won21%
6/9Break points converted1/2
6/7Service games held2/8
70%Service points won40%
60%Return points won30%
56Total points won31

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. LagutinTourI. Parisca Romera
Service points won61%62%62%
Return points won44%38%43%
Service games held72%76%76%
Breaks of serve38%24%34%
Aces per service game0.120.21
Double faults per game0.200.30
Sets with a tie-break13%11%
Tie-breaks won4/50/3
Wins in straight sets58%86%
Matches in the sample1712

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pavel Lagutin

  • 22/09/26LIliyan Radulov#574Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R325:7 2:6
  • 21/09/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#572Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q27:6 3:0
  • 20/09/26WRares Teodor Pieleanu#800Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:3 6:0
  • 16/09/26LAlejandro Moro Canas#233Challenger Biella · R164:6 3:6
  • 15/09/26WEnrico Dalla Valle#319Challenger Biella · R323:6 7:6 6:3
  • 14/09/26WMaximilian MartererChallenger Biella · Q26:2 6:2
  • 13/09/26WMatthieu RoehrichChallenger Biella · Q16:1 6:0
  • 10/09/26LMax Alcala Gurri#138Challenger Seville · R167:6 2:6 6:7
  • 08/09/26WVilius Gaubas#141Challenger Seville · R326:2 3:6 6:0
  • 07/09/26WTiago Pereira#339Challenger Seville · Q26:4 5:7 6:0

Ignacio Parisca Romera

  • 05/10/26LFilippo Moroni#856Challenger Palermo · Q26:7 7:5 6:7
  • 04/10/26WGabriel Ghetu#570Challenger Palermo · Q16:0 6:0
  • 27/09/26LFranco Agamenone#378Challenger Bari · Q16:2 3:6 2:6
  • 03/09/26LYanaki Milev#619Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R165:7 0:6
  • 01/09/26WFilip Jeff Planinsek#501Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R326:2 6:4
  • 31/08/26WAmit Vales#600Challenger Plovdiv 3 · Q26:7 6:4 6:2
  • 30/08/26WViktor KirovChallenger Plovdiv 3 · Q16:2 6:2
  • 22/06/26LValentin BaselChallenger Piracicaba · Q21:6 2:6
  • 21/06/26WVictor BragaChallenger Piracicaba · Q16:2 6:0
  • 16/06/26LSantiago Rodriguez Taverna#460Challenger Asuncion 2 · R321:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Pavel LagutinIgnacio Parisca Romera

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. LagutinI. Parisca Romera
Hard court2–167%0–0
Clay10–471%7–558%

Head to head

They have not met yet.