ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 128hardbest of three sets

Landaluce vs Struff 0:2: result and our tips

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Martin LandaluceATP #73Elo 1820hard 1798
0:2final4:6 4:6
Jan-Lennard StruffATP #59Elo 1897hard 1832

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Martin Landaluce51%
Jan-Lennard Struff49%

Elo: M. Landaluce 45% · J.-L. Struff 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Landaluce31%
2:1 M. Landaluce20%
2:1 J.-L. Struff20%
2:0 J.-L. Struff30%

First set

Martin Landaluce51%
Jan-Lennard Struff50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.569%31%59%
21.562%38%54%
22.555%45%45%
23.547%53%39%
24.544%56%38%
25.541%59%34%
26.536%64%30%

Sample: 5,076 matches

Games handicap

Martin Landaluce −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes48%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 23.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Martin LandaluceJan-Lennard Struff
6Aces13
0Double faults3
65%First serves in59%
70%First-serve points won73%
41%Second-serve points won47%
1/8Break points converted3/4
7/10Service games held9/10
60%Service points won63%
38%Return points won40%
70Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. LandaluceTourJ.-L. Struff
Service points won62%62%65%
Return points won37%38%35%
Service games held77%76%81%
Breaks of serve23%24%18%
Aces per service game0.390.70
Double faults per game0.330.25
Sets with a tie-break14%21%
Tie-breaks won12/2418/32
Wins in straight sets53%52%
Matches in the sample6254

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Martin Landaluce

Jan-Lennard Struff

Elo over the last year

Martin LandaluceJan-Lennard Struff

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. LandaluceJ.-L. Struff
Hard court17–2046%17–1750%
Clay10–856%4–736%
Grass3–443%6–367%

Head to head

M. Landaluce 0–1 J.-L. Struff

  • 22/06/26Winner: Jan-Lennard Struff3:6 6:1 5:7