Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Langmo vs Giustino 0:2: result and our tips

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Christian LangmoATP #534Elo 1525clay 1550
0:2final4:6 1:6
Lorenzo GiustinoATP #216Elo 1715clay 1705

Our tips

Our tip
Giustino to win the first setWon69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Langmo lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Giustino won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
A third setLost35%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in recent matches: Langmo 8 of 20, Giustino 10 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Christian Langmo24%
Lorenzo Giustino76%

Elo: C. Langmo 29% · L. Giustino 71%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Langmo13%
2:1 C. Langmo12%
2:1 L. Giustino23%
2:0 L. Giustino52%

First set

Christian Langmo31%
Lorenzo Giustino69%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%69%
19.563%37%60%
20.555%45%53%
21.549%51%48%
22.543%57%41%
23.538%62%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 2,960 matches

Games handicap

Lorenzo Giustino −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Christian LangmoLorenzo Giustino
5Aces1
1Double faults2
56%First serves in64%
63%First-serve points won69%
42%Second-serve points won55%
1/1Break points converted4/10
4/8Service games held8/9
54%Service points won64%
36%Return points won46%
49Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. LangmoTourL. Giustino
Service points won64%62%61%
Return points won35%38%39%
Service games held81%76%76%
Breaks of serve19%24%25%
Aces per service game0.570.36
Double faults per game0.270.29
Sets with a tie-break21%17%
Tie-breaks won12/2417/27
Wins in straight sets78%62%
Matches in the sample5166

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Christian Langmo

Lorenzo Giustino

Elo over the last year

Christian LangmoLorenzo Giustino

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. LangmoL. Giustino
Hard court15–2339%16–964%
Clay8–562%21–1953%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Christian Langmo

  • 04/10/26WDominik Recek#819Challenger Palermo · Q17:6 6:4
  • 05/10/26WOleksandr Ovcharenko#616Challenger Palermo · Q26:7 7:6 6:3

Lorenzo Giustino

First match in this tournament.