Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Leong vs Jiang 1:1: result and our tips

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Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongATP #405Elo 1607hard 1614
1:1retired6:7(4) 6:4 3:1
Fumin JiangElo 1442hard 1440

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong95%
Fumin Jiang5%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Leong80%
2:1 M. Leong14%
2:1 F. Jiang3%
2:0 F. Jiang4%

First set

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong87%
Fumin Jiang13%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes17%
no83%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 55%market (no margin): 50%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.587%13%97%
15.577%23%94%
16.566%34%88%
17.555%45%80%
18.545%55%71%
19.536%64%63%
20.529%71%54%

Sample: 1,129 matches

Games handicap

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong −6.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Match stats

Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongFumin Jiang
16Aces2
5Double faults5
71%First serves in67%
76%First-serve points won62%
44%Second-serve points won59%
4/9Break points converted2/8
11/13Service games held9/13
67%Service points won61%
39%Return points won33%
90Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. LeongTourF. Jiang
Service points won63%62%—
Return points won41%38%—
Service games held76%76%—
Breaks of serve31%24%—
Aces per service game0.45—
Double faults per game0.26—
Sets with a tie-break12%—
Tie-breaks won5/14—
Wins in straight sets63%—
Matches in the sample50—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

  • 08/10/26LJay Friend#272Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 3:6
  • 06/10/26WSidharth Rawat#671Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 4:6 6:1
  • 29/09/26LMarat Sharipov#225Challenger Jingshan · Q22:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26WThomas Fancutt#685Challenger Jingshan · Q16:4 6:4
  • 18/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#327Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:7 6:4 6:7
  • 17/09/26WJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:2 6:3
  • 16/09/26WSergey Fomin#294Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:3 6:1
  • 14/09/26WHanyi Liu#822Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q22:6 6:1 4:0
  • 13/09/26WYe HongyuChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:0 6:1
  • 08/09/26LOmar Jasika#388Challenger Shanghai · R322:6 1:6

Fumin Jiang

Elo over the last year

Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongFumin Jiang

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. LeongF. Jiang
Hard court30–1961%0–10%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.