WTA BeijingWTA 1000Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Li vs Svitolina 0:2: result and our tips

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Ann LiWTA #31Elo 1866hard 1836
0:2final2:6 3:6
Elina SvitolinaWTA #6Elo 2119hard 2083

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Li 15 of 20, Svitolina 15 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: SvitolinaWon77%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Svitolina won 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Svitolina: 4 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ann Li24%
Elina Svitolina77%

Elo: A. Li 20% · E. Svitolina 81%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Li13%
2:1 A. Li12%
2:1 E. Svitolina21%
2:0 E. Svitolina54%

First set

Ann Li30%
Elina Svitolina70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%28%72%
18.564%37%63%
19.556%44%55%
20.549%52%49%
21.544%56%44%
22.538%63%38%
23.534%67%34%

Sample: 1,580 matches

Games handicap

Elina Svitolina −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Ann LiElina Svitolina
2Aces1
4Double faults1
60%First serves in63%
53%First-serve points won54%
44%Second-serve points won63%
2/12Break points converted5/14
3/8Service games held7/9
49%Service points won57%
43%Return points won51%
67Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. LiTourE. Svitolina
Service points won59%56%59%
Return points won42%44%46%
Service games held71%63%72%
Breaks of serve32%37%42%
Aces per service game0.430.31
Double faults per game0.250.31
Sets with a tie-break13%11%
Tie-breaks won9/1810/15
Wins in straight sets58%56%
Matches in the sample5758

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ann Li

Elina Svitolina

Elo over the last year

Ann LiElina Svitolina

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. LiE. Svitolina
Hard court20–1754%30–879%
Clay9–660%12–380%
Grass2–340%3–260%

Head to head

A. Li 0–1 E. Svitolina

  • 03/06/21Winner: Elina Svitolina0:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Ann Li

Elina Svitolina

See also