WTA OsakaWTA 250Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Liu vs Sawashiro 2:0: result and our tips

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Claire LiuWTA #95Elo 1747hard 1720
2:0final6:1 6:1
Kanon SawashiroWTA #601Elo 1470hard 1467

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Claire Liu97%
Kanon Sawashiro3%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Liu83%
2:1 C. Liu11%
2:1 K. Sawashiro2%
2:0 K. Sawashiro3%

First set

Claire Liu89%
Kanon Sawashiro11%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes14%
no86%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 17.5 · 54%market (no margin): 53%

The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 18.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.580%20%95%
15.567%33%89%
16.558%42%81%
17.546%54%72%
18.535%65%63%
19.528%72%55%
20.523%77%49%

Sample: 531 matches

Games handicap

Claire Liu −7.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes12%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 17.5in · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Claire LiuKanon Sawashiro
5Aces0
2Double faults1
67%First serves in83%
88%First-serve points won38%
67%Second-serve points won67%
5/10Break points converted0/0
7/7Service games held2/7
81%Service points won43%
57%Return points won19%
60Total points won30

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. LiuTourK. Sawashiro
Service points won58%56%—
Return points won45%44%—
Service games held68%63%—
Breaks of serve40%37%—
Aces per service game0.29—
Double faults per game0.27—
Sets with a tie-break9%—
Tie-breaks won3/10—
Wins in straight sets66%—
Matches in the sample47—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Claire Liu

Kanon Sawashiro

Elo over the last year

Claire LiuKanon Sawashiro

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. LiuK. Sawashiro
Hard court17–1161%0–10%
Clay7–558%0–0
Grass5–271%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.