WTA 125 LisbonQualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying
Lollia vs Ebeling Koning 2:1: result and our tips
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2:1final7:5 4:6 7:6(2)
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Mathilde Lollia18%
Loes Ebeling Koning82%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Lollia9%
2:1 M. Lollia9%
2:1 L. Ebeling Koning20%
2:0 L. Ebeling Koning63%
First set
Mathilde Lollia25%
Loes Ebeling Koning76%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 18.5 · 53%market (no margin): 54%
The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 20.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 84% | 16% | 86% |
| 16.5 | 74% | 26% | 77% |
| 17.5 | 64% | 36% | 68% |
| 18.5 | 53% | 47% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 46% | 54% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 39% | 61% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 36% | 64% | 42% |
Sample: 882 matches
Games handicap
Loes Ebeling Koning −5.554%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes17%
tour average 20%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 18.5in · 35 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Mathilde Lollia | Loes Ebeling Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 2 |
| 8 | Double faults | 4 |
| 84% | First serves in | 88% |
| 63% | First-serve points won | 59% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 47% |
| 5/14 | Break points converted | 5/13 |
| 12/17 | Service games held | 12/17 |
| 60% | Service points won | 57% |
| 43% | Return points won | 40% |
| 122 | Total points won | 115 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mathilde Lollia
- 11/10/26WMaria Martinez Vaquero#500WTA 125 Lisbon · Q13:6 6:4 6:2
- 09/07/25LJulia Riera#138WTA 125 Contrexeville · R327:5 3:6 1:6
- 07/07/25WAlicia Herrero Linana#222WTA 125 Contrexeville · Q27:6 6:4
- 06/07/25WLia Karatancheva#393WTA 125 Contrexeville · Q16:7 6:3 6:3
Loes Ebeling Koning
- 11/10/26WPia Lovric#493WTA 125 Lisbon · Q17:5 7:5
- 08/06/25LMariam Bolkvadze#338WTA S-Hertogenbosch · Q23:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Mathilde LolliaLoes Ebeling Koning
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Lollia | L. Ebeling Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1–0100% | 1–0100% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Mathilde Lollia
- 11/10/26WMaria Martinez Vaquero#500WTA 125 Lisbon · Q13:6 6:4 6:2
Loes Ebeling Koning
- 11/10/26WPia Lovric#493WTA 125 Lisbon · Q17:5 7:5