WTA 125 SuzhouRound of 32hardbest of three sets
Lu vs Korpatsch 0:2: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Jia-Jing Lu33%
Tamara Korpatsch67%
Elo: J.-J. Lu 25% · T. Korpatsch 75%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J.-J. Lu20%
2:1 J.-J. Lu15%
2:1 T. Korpatsch22%
2:0 T. Korpatsch44%
First set
Jia-Jing Lu37%
Tamara Korpatsch63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 23% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 63% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 55% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 48% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 43% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 34% |
Sample: 2,064 matches
Games handicap
Tamara Korpatsch −3.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes24%
tour average 22%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 21.0in · 20 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Jia-Jing Lu | Tamara Korpatsch | |
|---|---|---|
| — | Aces | — |
| 6 | Double faults | 4 |
| 49% | First serves in | 60% |
| 52% | First-serve points won | 70% |
| 53% | Second-serve points won | 56% |
| 2/6 | Break points converted | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Service games held | 8/10 |
| 52% | Service points won | 65% |
| 36% | Return points won | 48% |
| 55 | Total points won | 70 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J.-J. Lu | Tour | T. Korpatsch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 55% |
| Return points won | 43% | 44% | 46% |
| Service games held | 61% | 63% | 61% |
| Breaks of serve | 34% | 37% | 41% |
| Aces per service game | 0.17 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.37 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 3% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/1 | 4/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 47% | |
| Matches in the sample | 12 | 62 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jia-Jing Lu
- 05/10/26LWushuang Zheng#437WTA 125 Suzhou · Q26:3 6:7 3:6
- 04/10/26WZongyu Li#304WTA 125 Suzhou · Q16:1 5:7 7:5
- 30/09/26LAlexandra Shubladze#132WTA 125 Jingshan · R160:6 2:6
- 28/09/26WHayu Kinoshita#221WTA 125 Jingshan · R326:4 6:3
- 29/07/26LMai Hontama#164WTA 125 Vancouver · R163:6 3:6
- 28/07/26WCaroline Dolehide#215WTA 125 Vancouver · R327:5 6:4
- 04/05/26LZhuoxuan Bai#200WTA 125 Jiujiang · R322:6 6:3 1:6
- 29/04/26LVarvara Panshina#384WTA 125 Huzhou · R161:6 3:6
- 27/04/26WXiaodi You#201WTA 125 Huzhou · R324:6 7:5 7:5
- 26/10/25LMaddison Inglis#130WTA Hong Kong · Q24:6 4:6
Tamara Korpatsch
- 30/09/26LTaylah Preston#86WTA Beijing · R1282:6 6:7
- 31/08/26LLilli Tagger#55WTA US Open · R1280:6 6:7
- 16/08/26LIva Jovic#11WTA Cincinnati · R644:6 3:6
- 14/08/26WMaya Joint#92WTA Cincinnati · R1280:6 6:3 6:4
- 03/08/26LRenata Zarazua#85WTA Toronto · R1284:6 6:0 1:6
- 26/07/26WAnna Bondar#66WTA Hamburg · F6:3 6:3
- 25/07/26WMaiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz#52WTA Hamburg · SF6:1 2:0
- 24/07/26WAnhelina Kalinina#48WTA Hamburg · QF6:3 1:6 6:1
- 22/07/26WJulia Stusek#394WTA Hamburg · R166:0 3:6 6:3
- 21/07/26WVictoria Jimenez Kasintseva#211WTA Hamburg · R324:6 7:5 1:0
Elo over the last year
Jia-Jing LuTamara Korpatsch
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J.-J. Lu | T. Korpatsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 4–640% | 15–1354% |
| Clay | 1–150% | 21–970% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–40% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Jia-Jing Lu
- 04/10/26WZongyu Li#304WTA 125 Suzhou · Q16:1 5:7 7:5
- 05/10/26LWushuang Zheng#437WTA 125 Suzhou · Q26:3 6:7 3:6
Tamara Korpatsch
First match in this tournament.