Challenger CaliChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Magadan vs Bolivar Idarraga 2:0: result and our tips

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Alan MagadanATP #504Elo 1602clay 1560
2:0final6:3 6:2

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alan Magadan95%
Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga5%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Magadan83%
2:1 A. Magadan12%
2:1 J. Bolivar Idarraga3%
2:0 J. Bolivar Idarraga2%

First set

Alan Magadan91%
Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga10%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes15%
no85%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 17.5 · 56%market (no margin): 54%

The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 18.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.582%18%96%
15.568%32%91%
16.556%44%84%
17.544%56%76%
18.537%63%68%
19.530%70%59%
20.524%76%52%

Sample: 1,190 matches

Games handicap

Alan Magadan −7.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes13%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 17.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Alan MagadanJuan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga
2Aces1
7Double faults1
57%First serves in49%
74%First-serve points won54%
55%Second-serve points won59%
3/6Break points converted0/6
9/9Service games held5/8
66%Service points won56%
44%Return points won34%
73Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. MagadanTourJ. Bolivar Idarraga
Service points won61%62%—
Return points won40%38%—
Service games held74%76%—
Breaks of serve26%24%—
Aces per service game0.41—
Double faults per game0.28—
Sets with a tie-break16%—
Tie-breaks won8/13—
Wins in straight sets47%—
Matches in the sample34—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alan Magadan

  • 05/10/26LJoao Eduardo Schiessl#612Challenger Antofagasta · Q21:6 4:6
  • 04/10/26WNicolas BrunaChallenger Antofagasta · Q13:6 6:3 7:6
  • 20/08/26LColeman Wong#92Challenger Cancun · R164:6 6:1 6:7
  • 20/08/26WAlex Hernandez#507Challenger Cancun · R324:6 6:0 6:4
  • 19/08/26WRio Noguchi#215Challenger Cancun · Q26:3 7:6
  • 18/08/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#193Challenger Cancun · Q16:4 7:6
  • 27/07/26LAlex Hernandez#507ATP Los Cabos · Q23:6 6:7
  • 26/07/26WGarrett Johns#458ATP Los Cabos · R162:6 6:1 6:1
  • 22/07/26LMichael Zheng#101Challenger Bloomfield Hills · R165:7 3:6
  • 21/07/26WStefan Kozlov#278Challenger Bloomfield Hills · R323:6 6:1 7:6

Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga

Elo over the last year

Alan MagadanJuan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. MagadanJ. Bolivar Idarraga
Hard court9–950%0–0
Clay8–850%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.