Mannarino vs Cobolli 2:1: result and our tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 56%
Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Mannarino 15 of 20, Cobolli 13 of 20 (tour average 61%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Mannarino 26% · F. Cobolli 74%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 27% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 66% | 35% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
Sample: 5,433 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.5in · 26 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Adrian Mannarino | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 10 |
| 0 | Double faults | 2 |
| 64% | First serves in | 53% |
| 68% | First-serve points won | 69% |
| 51% | Second-serve points won | 45% |
| 5/10 | Break points converted | 2/9 |
| 11/13 | Service games held | 8/13 |
| 62% | Service points won | 58% |
| 42% | Return points won | 38% |
| 96 | Total points won | 86 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Mannarino | Tour | F. Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.38 | 0.49 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/24 | 18/30 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 51% | |
| Matches in the sample | 54 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Adrian Mannarino
- 07/10/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 2:2
- 29/09/26LPablo Carreno Busta#65ATP Beijing · Q23:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#61ATP Beijing · Q17:6 3:6 7:6
- 27/09/26LDenis Shapovalov#42ATP Chengdu · QF7:6 3:6 2:6
- 25/09/26WAlejandro Tabilo#30ATP Chengdu · R166:4 6:4
- 24/09/26WJuncheng Shang#214ATP Chengdu · R327:6 6:2
- 17/09/26LMatisse Bobichon#571Challenger Rennes · R163:6 5:7
- 15/09/26WDan Added#391Challenger Rennes · R326:2 6:4
- 02/09/26LAlexander Bublik#22ATP US Open · R643:6 1:6 1:6
- 30/08/26WThiago Agustin Tirante#54ATP US Open · R1284:6 3:6 6:3 6:3 6:3
Flavio Cobolli
- 01/10/26LRoman Safiullin#79ATP Beijing · R323:6 2:6
- 05/09/26LAlexander Blockx#28ATP US Open · R327:6 3:6 0:6 3:6
- 03/09/26WTristan Schoolkate#155ATP US Open · R643:6 6:3 6:4 7:5
- 01/09/26WFrancisco Comesana#125ATP US Open · R1283:6 2:6 6:3 6:4 6:4
- 22/08/26LArthur Fils#11ATP Cincinnati · SF3:6 4:6
- 20/08/26WTommy Paul#18ATP Cincinnati · QF2:6 6:3 6:4
- 19/08/26WRafael Jodar#13ATP Cincinnati · R164:6 7:6 6:3
- 17/08/26WAlexander Blockx#28ATP Cincinnati · R327:5 4:6 7:5
- 15/08/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#61ATP Cincinnati · R646:1 4:6 6:3
- 05/08/26LYannick Hanfmann#57ATP Montreal · R646:7 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Mannarino | F. Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–2140% | 17–1455% |
| Clay | 0–80% | 14–767% |
| Grass | 6–555% | 4–267% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Adrian Mannarino
- 07/10/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 2:2
Flavio Cobolli
First match in this tournament.