Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Marino vs Siniakov 0:2: result and our tips

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Paolo Gabriele MarinoElo 1500clay 1500
0:2final3:6 2:6
Daniel SiniakovATP #519Elo 1436clay 1442

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Paolo Gabriele Marino4%
Daniel Siniakov96%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Marino2%
2:1 P. Marino3%
2:1 D. Siniakov11%
2:0 D. Siniakov85%

First set

Paolo Gabriele Marino8%
Daniel Siniakov92%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes13%
no87%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 72%market (no margin): 55%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 18.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.589%11%98%
14.580%20%96%
15.566%34%91%
16.554%47%84%
17.541%59%76%
18.534%66%68%
19.528%72%59%

Sample: 1,100 matches

Games handicap

Daniel Siniakov −7.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes12%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Paolo Gabriele MarinoDaniel Siniakov
2Aces2
5Double faults4
42%First serves in70%
47%First-serve points won80%
46%Second-serve points won40%
2/3Break points converted5/8
3/8Service games held7/9
47%Service points won68%
32%Return points won53%
37Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. MarinoTourD. Siniakov
Service points won—62%60%
Return points won—38%41%
Service games held—76%69%
Breaks of serve—24%29%
Aces per service game—0.28
Double faults per game—0.34
Sets with a tie-break—21%
Tie-breaks won—3/9
Wins in straight sets—57%
Matches in the sample—18

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Paolo Gabriele Marino

No matches on record.

Daniel Siniakov

  • 05/10/26LYanaki Milev#619Challenger Palermo · Q27:5 3:6 4:6
  • 04/10/26WDaniele Rapagnetta#629Challenger Palermo · Q11:6 7:5 6:2
  • 08/09/26LVitaliy Sachko#172Challenger Tulln · R324:6 5:7
  • 07/09/26WOleg Prihodko#458Challenger Tulln · Q26:2 6:4
  • 06/09/26WNiels Visker#415Challenger Tulln · Q17:6 6:3
  • 01/09/26LGeorgii Kravchenko#313Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R326:7 6:3 6:7
  • 23/08/26LKai Wehnelt#613Challenger Augsburg · Q16:7 6:7
  • 18/08/26LOleksii Krutykh#456Challenger Prague · R323:6 4:6
  • 02/08/26LTim Handel#690Challenger Hagen · Q14:6 4:6
  • 27/07/26LWilliam Rejchtman Vinciguerra#840Challenger Liberec · Q27:5 3:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

Paolo Gabriele MarinoDaniel Siniakov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. MarinoD. Siniakov
Hard court0–00–10%
Clay0–07–1041%

Head to head

They have not met yet.