Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Marrero Curbelo vs Colombo 2:0: result and our tips

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Ivan Marrero CurbeloATP #370Elo 1543hard 1527
2:0final6:4 6:1
Andrea ColomboATP #853Elo 1484hard 1494

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ivan Marrero Curbelo67%
Andrea Colombo33%

Elo: I. Marrero Curbelo 55% · A. Colombo 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 I. Marrero Curbelo44%
2:1 I. Marrero Curbelo22%
2:1 A. Colombo14%
2:0 A. Colombo19%

First set

Ivan Marrero Curbelo63%
Andrea Colombo37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 48%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.551%49%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 5,126 matches

Games handicap

Ivan Marrero Curbelo −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Ivan Marrero CurbeloAndrea Colombo
2Aces2
1Double faults3
74%First serves in60%
68%First-serve points won55%
50%Second-serve points won44%
5/13Break points converted1/7
7/8Service games held4/9
63%Service points won51%
49%Return points won37%
67Total points won54

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

I. Marrero CurbeloTourA. Colombo
Service points won60%62%62%
Return points won42%38%37%
Service games held70%76%76%
Breaks of serve33%24%23%
Aces per service game0.110.45
Double faults per game0.290.21
Sets with a tie-break11%14%
Tie-breaks won5/111/2
Wins in straight sets52%67%
Matches in the sample436

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

  • 05/10/26LPhilip Henning#267Challenger Villena · Q25:7 0:6
  • 04/10/26WJoshua Sheehy#772Challenger Villena · Q16:2 2:6 7:6
  • 27/09/26LLuca Potenza#528Challenger Porto 2 · Q14:6 6:4 3:6
  • 07/09/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#238Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:4 5:7 0:6
  • 31/08/26LOskari Paldanius#787Challenger Manacor · Q14:6 0:2
  • 26/08/26LAndres Andrade#203Challenger Kingston 2 · R164:6 2:6
  • 25/08/26WBlaise Bicknell#421Challenger Kingston 2 · R323:6 7:5 6:2
  • 17/08/26LLucas Andrade Da Silva#771Challenger Kingston · Q24:6 4:6
  • 16/08/26WLev SeidmanChallenger Kingston · Q16:2 4:6 6:3
  • 07/08/26LMathys Erhard#373Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · QF3:6 3:6

Andrea Colombo

  • 31/08/26LOlle Wallin#423Challenger Como · Q26:3 1:6 6:7
  • 30/08/26WGianmarco Ferrari#516Challenger Como · Q17:5 7:6
  • 31/05/26LOriol Roca Batalla#312Challenger Perugia · Q13:6 2:6
  • 03/02/26LJavier Barranco Cosano#577Challenger Tenerife · R323:6 1:6
  • 02/02/26WBruno Pujol NavarroChallenger Tenerife · Q24:6 6:4 3:0
  • 01/02/26WAdrien BurdetChallenger Tenerife · Q16:1 6:2

Elo over the last year

Ivan Marrero CurbeloAndrea Colombo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

I. Marrero CurbeloA. Colombo
Hard court13–1350%2–167%
Clay10–759%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.