Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Marti Pujolras vs Sperle 2:0: result and our tips

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Alex Marti PujolrasATP #499Elo 1519clay 1524
2:0finalrebuilt6:2 6:1
John SperleATP #667Elo 1521clay 1527

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alex Marti Pujolras57%
John Sperle43%

Elo: A. Marti Pujolras 50% · J. Sperle 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Marti Pujolras37%
2:1 A. Marti Pujolras21%
2:1 J. Sperle18%
2:0 J. Sperle24%

First set

Alex Marti Pujolras56%
John Sperle44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%68%
19.560%40%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,772 matches

Games handicap

Alex Marti Pujolras −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Alex Marti PujolrasJohn Sperle
1Aces0
3Double faults1
53%First serves in50%
85%First-serve points won44%
67%Second-serve points won48%
5/7Break points converted0/1
7/7Service games held3/8
76%Service points won46%
54%Return points won24%
54Total points won30

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. Marti PujolrasTourJ. Sperle
Service points won58%62%60%
Return points won41%38%40%
Service games held69%76%73%
Breaks of serve29%24%27%
Aces per service game0.330.22
Double faults per game0.580.14
Sets with a tie-break20%22%
Tie-breaks won8/107/9
Wins in straight sets90%44%
Matches in the sample2217

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alex Marti Pujolras

John Sperle

  • 29/09/26LLorenzo Giustino#216Challenger Bari · R325:7 7:6 4:6
  • 28/09/26WFranco Agamenone#378Challenger Bari · Q26:2 1:6 7:6
  • 27/09/26WGiuseppe La Vela#543Challenger Bari · Q16:1 7:6
  • 22/09/26LJay Clarke#240Challenger Genoa 2 · R325:7 3:6
  • 21/09/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#577Challenger Genoa 2 · Q27:6 1:2
  • 20/09/26WSergi Fita JuanChallenger Genoa 2 · Q16:3 6:1
  • 05/07/26LAndrey Chepelev#379Challenger Braunschweig · Q12:6 4:6
  • 28/06/26LAmit Vales#600Challenger Troyes · Q16:1 5:7 3:6
  • 22/06/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#326Challenger Targu Mures · Q23:6 2:6
  • 21/06/26WDominik Palan#631Challenger Targu Mures · Q16:3 6:2

Elo over the last year

Alex Marti PujolrasJohn Sperle

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. Marti PujolrasJ. Sperle
Hard court0–10%1–150%
Clay10–1148%8–753%

Head to head

They have not met yet.