Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Martineau vs Schoenhaus 2:0: result and our tips

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Matteo MartineauATP #272Elo 1592hard 1608
2:0final6:2 7:6(5)
Max SchoenhausATP #293Elo 1660hard 1643

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost56%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Schoenhaus: 4 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Martineau: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Matteo Martineau42%
Max Schoenhaus58%

Elo: M. Martineau 45% · M. Schoenhaus 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Martineau25%
2:1 M. Martineau17%
2:1 M. Schoenhaus21%
2:0 M. Schoenhaus37%

First set

Matteo Martineau44%
Max Schoenhaus56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.550%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,760 matches

Games handicap

Max Schoenhaus −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Matteo MartineauMax Schoenhaus
12Aces3
5Double faults3
57%First serves in61%
80%First-serve points won67%
53%Second-serve points won47%
2/4Break points converted0/2
10/10Service games held8/10
69%Service points won59%
41%Return points won31%
79Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. MartineauTourM. Schoenhaus
Service points won63%62%64%
Return points won36%38%39%
Service games held79%76%78%
Breaks of serve20%24%24%
Aces per service game0.500.53
Double faults per game0.320.26
Sets with a tie-break26%16%
Tie-breaks won17/376/12
Wins in straight sets48%63%
Matches in the sample5830

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matteo Martineau

  • 28/09/26LClement Tabur#160Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:7 7:6 3:6
  • 24/09/26LDaniel Masur#380Challenger Saint Tropez · R163:6 7:5 3:6
  • 22/09/26WTristan Schoolkate#155Challenger Saint Tropez · R327:6 6:7 7:6
  • 21/09/26WJustin Boulais#416Challenger Saint Tropez · Q26:3 6:1
  • 20/09/26WCesar Bouchelaghem#472Challenger Saint Tropez · Q16:1 6:4
  • 17/09/26LBorna Gojo#150Challenger Rennes · R164:6 4:6
  • 16/09/26WMax Schoenhaus#293Challenger Rennes · R327:6 6:4
  • 07/09/26LGijs Brouwer#847Challenger Cassis · R322:6 6:3 6:7
  • 26/08/26LEmile Hudd#463Challenger Roehampton 2 · R166:4 3:6 2:6
  • 24/08/26WBilly BlaydesChallenger Roehampton 2 · R326:3 4:6 6:1

Max Schoenhaus

  • 16/09/26LMatteo Martineau#272Challenger Rennes · R326:7 4:6
  • 14/09/26WPatrick Brady#715Challenger Rennes · Q24:6 6:3 6:1
  • 13/09/26WAdhithya Ganesan#832Challenger Rennes · Q17:6 6:4
  • 04/09/26LMatej Dodig#174Challenger Como · QF6:2 6:7 3:6
  • 02/09/26WGonzalo Bueno#183Challenger Como · R166:1 6:3
  • 31/08/26WAlvaro Guillen Meza#332Challenger Como · R326:2 6:7 6:1
  • 26/08/26LDaniel Masur#380Challenger Augsburg · R167:6 4:6 4:6
  • 24/08/26WMili Poljicak#286Challenger Augsburg · R326:4 6:3
  • 12/08/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#255Challenger Hamburg · R161:6 3:6
  • 11/08/26WZsombor Piros#114Challenger Hamburg · R321:6 6:0 0:0

Elo over the last year

Matteo MartineauMax Schoenhaus

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. MartineauM. Schoenhaus
Hard court19–1950%5–271%
Clay8–1240%11–1150%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

M. Martineau 1–0 M. Schoenhaus

  • 16/09/26Winner: Matteo Martineau7:6 6:4