WTA 125 LisbonRound of 32claybest of three sets

Matoula vs Pedone 2:0: result and our tips

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Martha MatoulaWTA #273Elo 1427clay 1452
2:0final6:3 6:4
Giorgia PedoneWTA #280Elo 1328clay 1344

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Martha Matoula53%
Giorgia Pedone47%

Elo: M. Matoula 65% · G. Pedone 35%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Matoula33%
2:1 M. Matoula20%
2:1 G. Pedone18%
2:0 G. Pedone29%

First set

Martha Matoula51%
Giorgia Pedone49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.558%42%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.548%52%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,395 matches

Games handicap

Martha Matoula −0.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Martha MatoulaGiorgia Pedone
—Aces—
2Double faults0
60%First serves in74%
57%First-serve points won52%
52%Second-serve points won38%
6/12Break points converted3/7
6/9Service games held4/10
55%Service points won48%
52%Return points won45%
81Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. MatoulaTourG. Pedone
Service points won—56%50%
Return points won—44%44%
Service games held—63%51%
Breaks of serve—37%35%
Aces per service game—0.09
Double faults per game—0.23
Sets with a tie-break—7%
Tie-breaks won—0/1
Wins in straight sets—50%
Matches in the sample—7

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Martha Matoula

  • 13/07/26LElena Micic#276WTA Athens · R325:7 3:6
  • 06/07/26LYulia Putintseva#79WTA 125 Bastad · R326:7 1:6
  • 06/09/25LMartina Okalova#627WTA Sao Paulo · Q14:6 2:6
  • 16/10/23LPatricia Maria TigWTA Cluj Napoca · R324:6 7:6 3:6
  • 15/10/23WIpek Oz#320WTA Cluj Napoca · Q27:6 4:6 7:5
  • 14/10/23WMara GaeWTA Cluj Napoca · Q16:2 6:7 6:2

Giorgia Pedone

Elo over the last year

Martha MatoulaGiorgia Pedone

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. MatoulaG. Pedone
Hard court0–10%0–0
Clay0–10%2–529%

Head to head

They have not met yet.