McCabe vs Ymer 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
McCabe lost 9 of the last 10 matches
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No third set in recent matches: McCabe 15 of 20, Ymer 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 44%
A tie-break in recent matches: McCabe 11 of 20, Ymer 10 of 20 (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: J. McCabe 42% · E. Ymer 58%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 27% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,843 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 23.0out · 32 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| James McCabe | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Aces | 11 |
| 3 | Double faults | 3 |
| 69% | First serves in | 59% |
| 84% | First-serve points won | 73% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 67% |
| 3/4 | Break points converted | 0/0 |
| 15/15 | Service games held | 12/15 |
| 73% | Service points won | 70% |
| 30% | Return points won | 27% |
| 94 | Total points won | 86 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. McCabe | Tour | E. Ymer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.71 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 25% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/31 | 13/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 45% | |
| Matches in the sample | 55 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
James McCabe
- 12/10/26LHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Jinan · Q23:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WSiddhant BanthiaChallenger Jinan · Q16:0 3:1
- 30/09/26LFederico Cina#135Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 3:6
- 24/08/26LLukas Neumayer#168ATP US Open · Q11:6 4:6
- 04/08/26LDusan Lajovic#162Challenger Lexington · R323:6 7:6 3:6
- 25/07/26LAlex Bolt#174ATP Washington · Q16:7 6:7
- 21/07/26LDuncan Chan#472Challenger Winnipeg · R326:7 6:4 5:7
- 16/07/26LBernard Tomic#180Challenger Lincoln · R166:7 4:6
- 15/07/26WMasamichi Imamura#427Challenger Lincoln · R326:4 7:6
- 08/07/26LJason Jung#984Challenger Newport · R324:6 3:6
Elias Ymer
- 13/10/26LMattia Bellucci#68Challenger Jinan · R322:6 1:6
- 05/10/26LMattia Bellucci#68ATP Shanghai · Q16:4 5:7 6:7
- 01/10/26LFederico Cina#135Challenger Jingshan · R166:3 3:6 4:6
- 30/09/26WTerence Atmane#98Challenger Jingshan · R324:6 7:5 5:5
- 22/09/26LAlexis Galarneau#182ATP Chengdu · Q15:7 6:7
- 18/09/26LMarat Sharipov#225Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:7 3:6
- 16/09/26WLuca Castelnuovo#449Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R167:6 6:4
- 14/09/26WSemen Pankin#430Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R325:7 7:5 6:3
- 08/09/26LPavel Kotov#172Challenger Shanghai · R326:3 3:6 6:7
- 01/09/26LYu Hsiou Hsu#287Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:7 5:5
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. McCabe | E. Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 22–2052% | 21–2348% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 2–340% |
| Grass | 6–555% | 6–460% |
Head to head
J. McCabe 1–0 E. Ymer
- 22/11/24Winner: James McCabe5:7 6:3 6:3