McDonald vs Nijboer 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
McDonald: 9 matches in a row over 18.5 games
Other tips
- Tie-break in Match: NoWon70%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Nijboer: 8 matches in a row without a tie-break
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
McDonald lost 0-2 in 11 of the last 20 matches, Nijboer won 2-0 in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. McDonald 54% · R. Nijboer 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
Sample: 4,628 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 22.0out · 26 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Mackenzie McDonald | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 4 |
| 6 | Double faults | 5 |
| 66% | First serves in | 66% |
| 58% | First-serve points won | 69% |
| 38% | Second-serve points won | 39% |
| 3/9 | Break points converted | 6/21 |
| 7/13 | Service games held | 10/13 |
| 51% | Service points won | 59% |
| 42% | Return points won | 49% |
| 89 | Total points won | 101 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. McDonald | Tour | R. Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 29% |
| Aces per service game | 0.41 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/18 | 2/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 54 | 26 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mackenzie McDonald
- 29/09/26LToby Samuel#100Challenger Porto 2 · R325:7 1:6
- 28/08/26LDalibor Svrcina#126ATP US Open · Q36:4 2:6 5:7
- 26/08/26WThiago Seyboth Wild#136ATP US Open · Q26:4 6:4
- 24/08/26WStefano Napolitano#284ATP US Open · Q16:4 7:5
- 20/08/26LJacob Fearnley#96Challenger Quebec City · R324:6 5:7
- 11/08/26LYibing Wu#113ATP Cincinnati · Q16:7 6:1 5:7
- 28/07/26LAlex Michelsen#35ATP Washington · R324:6 5:7
- 26/07/26LTrevor Svajda#486ATP Washington · Q24:6 4:6
- 25/07/26WEdas Butvilas#199ATP Washington · Q13:6 6:3 6:4
- 08/07/26LAdam Walton#98Challenger Newport · R321:6 3:6
Ryan Nijboer
- 05/10/26WBenjamin Hassan#500Challenger Braga · Q26:3 6:3
- 04/10/26WNico Hipfl#740Challenger Braga · Q15:7 7:5 6:1
- 22/09/26LFrancesco Forti#336Challenger Genoa 2 · R323:6 4:6
- 21/09/26LAlejandro Juan Mano#593Challenger Genoa 2 · Q26:4 3:6 4:6
- 20/09/26WIannis Miletich#972Challenger Genoa 2 · Q16:3 6:3
- 19/08/26LTommaso Compagnucci#372Challenger Sion · R163:6 2:6
- 18/08/26WMurkel Dellien#407Challenger Sion · R326:2 6:1
- 09/08/26LJannik Opitz#828Challenger Hamburg · Q13:6 6:2 3:6
- 17/07/26LGuy Den Ouden#321Challenger Bunschoten · QF4:6 6:7
- 16/07/26WNiels Visker#415Challenger Bunschoten · R166:2 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. McDonald | R. Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–1949% | 0–10% |
| Clay | 1–614% | 16–964% |
| Grass | 5–550% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Mackenzie McDonald
First match in this tournament.
Ryan Nijboer
- 04/10/26WNico Hipfl#740Challenger Braga · Q15:7 7:5 6:1
- 05/10/26WBenjamin Hassan#500Challenger Braga · Q26:3 6:3