Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Milavsky vs Blanch 0:2: result and our tips

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Daniel MilavskyATP #319Elo 1688hard 1660
0:2final1:6 4:6
Darwin BlanchATP #159Elo 1806hard 1775

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: BlanchWon66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Blanch won 8 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 20.5Lost60%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 60%

    Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Milavsky 12 of 20, Blanch 14 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Milavsky 9 of 20, Blanch 10 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daniel Milavsky34%
Darwin Blanch66%

Elo: D. Milavsky 34% · D. Blanch 66%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Milavsky20%
2:1 D. Milavsky15%
2:1 D. Blanch22%
2:0 D. Blanch43%

First set

Daniel Milavsky39%
Darwin Blanch61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,416 matches

Games handicap

Darwin Blanch −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Daniel MilavskyDarwin Blanch
5Aces6
3Double faults4
55%First serves in57%
68%First-serve points won94%
44%Second-serve points won44%
0/2Break points converted3/6
5/8Service games held9/9
57%Service points won72%
28%Return points won43%
47Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. MilavskyTourD. Blanch
Service points won63%62%64%
Return points won39%38%37%
Service games held78%76%80%
Breaks of serve25%24%22%
Aces per service game0.510.57
Double faults per game0.320.28
Sets with a tie-break13%18%
Tie-breaks won7/1317/30
Wins in straight sets63%57%
Matches in the sample4267

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniel Milavsky

Darwin Blanch

Elo over the last year

Daniel MilavskyDarwin Blanch

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. MilavskyD. Blanch
Hard court20–1656%22–1954%
Clay0–10%10–759%
Grass4–180%5–456%

Head to head

D. Milavsky 0–1 D. Blanch

  • 30/09/26Winner: Darwin Blanch3:6 6:1 3:6

Road through the tournament

Daniel Milavsky

Darwin Blanch