Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Misolic vs Recek 2:0: result and our tips

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Filip MisolicATP #495Elo 1688clay 1759
2:0final6:2 6:2
Dominik RecekATP #844Elo 1469clay 1463

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Filip Misolic80%
Dominik Recek20%

Elo: F. Misolic 85% · D. Recek 16%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Misolic57%
2:1 F. Misolic22%
2:1 D. Recek10%
2:0 D. Recek11%

First set

Filip Misolic73%
Dominik Recek27%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.581%19%84%
17.572%28%76%
18.562%38%68%
19.553%47%59%
20.547%53%52%
21.542%58%47%
22.536%64%40%

Sample: 2,441 matches

Games handicap

Filip Misolic −4.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Filip MisolicDominik Recek
4Aces3
—Double faults—
65%First serves in61%
87%First-serve points won47%
50%Second-serve points won39%
5/10Break points converted1/4
7/8Service games held3/8
74%Service points won44%
56%Return points won26%
67Total points won38

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. MisolicTourD. Recek
Service points won58%62%61%
Return points won39%38%36%
Service games held68%76%73%
Breaks of serve24%24%21%
Aces per service game0.310.40
Double faults per game0.300.22
Sets with a tie-break13%23%
Tie-breaks won3/64/5
Wins in straight sets100%75%
Matches in the sample1910

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Filip Misolic

  • 05/10/26LPatrick Schoen#343Challenger Braga · Q21:6 2:6
  • 04/10/26WTiago EsculcasChallenger Braga · Q16:2 6:0
  • 27/09/26LOleksandr Ovcharenko#616Challenger Bari · Q14:6 1:3
  • 21/09/26LSebastian Gima#491Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q23:6 6:4 3:6
  • 20/09/26WImanol Lopez Morillo#661Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q17:5 6:1
  • 13/09/26LM. Cerny#678Challenger Szczecin · Q16:4 5:7 4:6
  • 10/09/26LMika Brunold#195Challenger Tulln · R161:6 7:6 2:6
  • 08/09/26WHenri Squire#292Challenger Tulln · R326:4 6:0
  • 01/09/26LFrancisco Cerúndolo#21ATP US Open · R1284:6 3:6 5:7
  • 17/02/26LMartin Landaluce#67Challenger Lille · R321:6 1:1

Dominik Recek

  • 04/10/26LChristian Langmo#516Challenger Palermo · Q16:7 4:6
  • 24/08/26LBenito Sanchez Martinez#895Challenger Augsburg · Q24:6 3:6
  • 23/08/26WGeorgii Kravchenko#285Challenger Augsburg · Q15:7 7:5 6:3
  • 16/08/26LAndrew PaulsonChallenger Prague · Q15:7 3:6
  • 04/08/26LDiego Dedura#190Challenger Hagen · R325:7 2:6
  • 03/08/26WMarko ToPo#337Challenger Hagen · Q26:4 6:4
  • 02/08/26WFilippo Romano#301Challenger Hagen · Q17:6 7:6
  • 26/07/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#431Challenger Liberec · Q13:6 2:6
  • 27/04/26LGarrett Johns#458Challenger Ostrava · Q24:6 7:6 2:6
  • 26/04/26WStefan Palosi#557Challenger Ostrava · Q17:6 6:2

Elo over the last year

Filip MisolicDominik Recek

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. MisolicD. Recek
Hard court2–918%0–0
Clay3–538%4–640%

Head to head

They have not met yet.