Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Mitsui vs Zahraj 0:2: result and our tips

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Shunsuke MitsuiATP #536Elo 1558hard 1553
0:2final3:6 4:6
Patrick ZahrajATP #511Elo 1436hard 1451

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: MitsuiLost60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Mitsui won the first set in 8 of the last 15 matches, Zahraj lost the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 19.5Lost65%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 67% → with the players' profiles 65%

    Zahraj: 6 matches in a row over 19.5 games

  • Match Winner: MitsuiLost64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 64%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Zahraj lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won35%

Where the number comes from: market alone 33% → with the players' profiles 35%

Mitsui: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Shunsuke Mitsui62%
Patrick Zahraj38%

Elo: S. Mitsui 64% · P. Zahraj 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Mitsui40%
2:1 S. Mitsui22%
2:1 P. Zahraj16%
2:0 P. Zahraj22%

First set

Shunsuke Mitsui59%
Patrick Zahraj41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 48%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.541%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,730 matches

Games handicap

Shunsuke Mitsui −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Shunsuke MitsuiPatrick Zahraj
2Aces1
3Double faults5
63%First serves in54%
53%First-serve points won61%
39%Second-serve points won53%
3/8Break points converted5/8
4/9Service games held7/10
48%Service points won57%
43%Return points won52%
53Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. MitsuiTourP. Zahraj
Service points won64%62%58%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held77%76%68%
Breaks of serve27%24%23%
Aces per service game0.300.37
Double faults per game0.240.49
Sets with a tie-break24%8%
Tie-breaks won4/93/7
Wins in straight sets50%69%
Matches in the sample1738

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Shunsuke Mitsui

  • 28/09/26LOliver Okonkwo#877Challenger Columbus · Q24:6 1:6
  • 27/09/26WRyan Colby#644Challenger Columbus · Q16:0 6:2
  • 20/09/26LOzan Baris#408Challenger San Diego 2 · Q11:6 2:6
  • 10/08/26LSidharth Rawat#664Challenger Astana · Q25:7 6:7
  • 09/08/26WPawit Sornlaksup#750Challenger Astana · Q17:6 1:6 6:4
  • 22/03/26LTakuya Kumasaka#615Challenger Yokkaichi · Q14:6 0:1
  • 03/02/26LDane Sweeny#112Challenger Brisbane · R322:3
  • 02/02/26WColin Sinclair#485Challenger Brisbane · Q27:6 6:7 6:4
  • 01/02/26WBrandon WalkinChallenger Brisbane · Q14:6 6:2 6:3
  • 11/11/25LTyler Zink#344Challenger Champaign · R326:7 1:6

Patrick Zahraj

  • 28/09/26LAlexandre Reco#833Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q25:7 3:6
  • 27/09/26WKarl Poling#459Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q13:6 6:3 6:2
  • 21/09/26LMurphy Cassone#273Challenger Saint Tropez · Q22:6 5:7
  • 20/09/26WMathys Erhard#373Challenger Saint Tropez · Q14:6 7:5 7:6
  • 14/09/26LMaxime Janvier#640Challenger Rennes · Q24:6 4:6
  • 13/09/26WJoshua Sheehy#772Challenger Rennes · Q17:5 6:3
  • 25/08/26LPatrick Brady#715Challenger Roehampton 2 · R323:6 2:6
  • 18/08/26LMika Brunold#261Challenger Sion · R326:7 1:6
  • 11/07/26LFederico Cina#147ATP Gstaad · Q15:7 3:6
  • 07/07/26LHenry Searle#228Challenger Nottingham 3 · R324:6 7:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Shunsuke MitsuiPatrick Zahraj

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. MitsuiP. Zahraj
Hard court10–759%11–1937%
Clay0–02–529%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.