Challenger BragaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Nagal vs Mikrut 0:2: result and our tips

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Sumit NagalATP #253Elo 1720clay 1724
0:2final2:6 4:6
Luka MikrutATP #167Elo 1856clay 1897

Our tips

Our tip
No third setWon65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Nagal: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Mikrut to winWon76%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 76%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Mikrut won 8 of the last 10 matches; Mikrut: 5 wins in a row

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sumit Nagal24%
Luka Mikrut76%

Elo: S. Nagal 27% · L. Mikrut 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Nagal13%
2:1 S. Nagal12%
2:1 L. Mikrut23%
2:0 L. Mikrut52%

First set

Sumit Nagal31%
Luka Mikrut69%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.578%22%77%
18.569%31%69%
19.560%40%60%
20.552%48%53%
21.547%53%48%
22.541%59%41%
23.536%64%37%

Sample: 2,975 matches

Games handicap

Luka Mikrut −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Sumit NagalLuka Mikrut
—Aces—
3Double faults1
73%First serves in53%
54%First-serve points won77%
36%Second-serve points won56%
2/6Break points converted5/6
4/9Service games held7/9
49%Service points won67%
33%Return points won51%
41Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. NagalTourL. Mikrut
Service points won60%62%65%
Return points won41%38%39%
Service games held74%76%81%
Breaks of serve29%24%25%
Aces per service game0.160.46
Double faults per game0.220.17
Sets with a tie-break11%13%
Tie-breaks won4/136/11
Wins in straight sets60%52%
Matches in the sample4836

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sumit Nagal

Luka Mikrut

Elo over the last year

Sumit NagalLuka Mikrut

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. NagalL. Mikrut
Hard court5–645%5–742%
Clay20–1754%18–578%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

S. Nagal 0–1 L. Mikrut

  • 03/10/25Winner: Luka Mikrut7:5 1:6 6:7