Nagel vs Massard 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 57%
Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Nagel 5 of 7, Massard 6 of 8 (tour average 54%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Nagel 49% · L. Massard 51%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,682 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 21.5in · 33 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Arthur Nagel | Loann Massard | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 12 |
| 3 | Double faults | 5 |
| 65% | First serves in | 65% |
| 65% | First-serve points won | 73% |
| 50% | Second-serve points won | 46% |
| 5/11 | Break points converted | 5/10 |
| 11/16 | Service games held | 11/16 |
| 60% | Service points won | 63% |
| 37% | Return points won | 40% |
| 101 | Total points won | 107 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Nagel | Tour | L. Massard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 69% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.36 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 29% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/5 | 1/3 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 7 | 8 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Arthur Nagel
- 16/09/26LFrancesco Maestrelli#171Challenger Rennes · R324:6 6:7
- 27/04/26LPierre-Hugues Herbert#296Challenger Aix en Provence · Q12:6 6:7
- 29/03/26LPietro Orlando Fellin#628Challenger Barletta · Q17:6 6:7 2:6
- 01/03/26LYosuke Watanuki#406Challenger Thionville · Q14:6 2:6
- 22/02/26LLucas Poullain#322Challenger St. Brieuc · Q15:7 2:6
- 27/01/26LMatteo Martineau#272Challenger Quimper · Q27:6 5:7 2:6
- 26/01/26WAlex Martinez#398Challenger Quimper · Q12:6 6:2 6:4
- 30/06/25LNiels Visker#415Challenger Troyes · Q24:6 6:7
- 29/06/25WDavid Jorda Sanchis#193Challenger Troyes · Q16:4 6:2
Loann Massard
- 07/06/26LLucas Poullain#322Challenger Lyon · Q11:6 0:6
- 22/02/26LAntoine Ghibaudo#403Challenger St. Brieuc · Q16:1 5:7 3:6
- 17/02/26LJustin Engel#442Challenger Lille · R326:7 3:6
- 16/02/26WSean Cuenin#310Challenger Lille · Q26:4 6:2
- 15/02/26WPatrick Zahraj#511Challenger Lille · Q17:6 7:5
- 08/02/26LMartin Krumich#257Challenger Pau · Q15:7 4:6
- 02/02/26LJohan Nikles#399Challenger Koblenz · Q24:6 5:7
- 01/02/26WMaik Steiner#781Challenger Koblenz · Q16:7 6:1 6:3
- 05/10/25LArthur Bouquier#737Challenger Roanne · Q16:7 4:6
- 02/10/25LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#152Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · R163:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Nagel | L. Massard | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–420% | 3–443% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.