WTA 125 LisbonRound of 32claybest of three sets

Nagy vs Janicijevic 0:2: result and our tips

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Adrienn NagyWTA #451Elo 1561clay 1549
0:2final3:6 4:6
Selena JanicijevicWTA #300Elo 1457clay 1460

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Adrienn Nagy51%
Selena Janicijevic49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Nagy32%
2:1 A. Nagy20%
2:1 S. Janicijevic19%
2:0 S. Janicijevic30%

First set

Adrienn Nagy50%
Selena Janicijevic50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.558%42%52%
20.552%48%46%
21.549%52%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,358 matches

Games handicap

Adrienn Nagy −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Adrienn NagySelena Janicijevic
0Aces2
4Double faults1
63%First serves in52%
50%First-serve points won61%
40%Second-serve points won55%
3/6Break points converted5/6
4/9Service games held7/10
46%Service points won58%
42%Return points won54%
50Total points won64

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. NagyTourS. Janicijevic
Service points won53%56%52%
Return points won46%44%46%
Service games held58%63%55%
Breaks of serve44%37%40%
Aces per service game0.160.20
Double faults per game0.390.41
Sets with a tie-break14%9%
Tie-breaks won0/11/4
Wins in straight sets50%75%
Matches in the sample320

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Adrienn Nagy

Selena Janicijevic

Elo over the last year

Adrienn NagySelena Janicijevic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. NagyS. Janicijevic
Hard court0–00–20%
Clay2–167%8–1044%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Adrienn Nagy

Selena Janicijevic

First match in this tournament.