WTA 125 MallorcaQualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Nguyen Tan vs Sagrista Bermejo 2:0: result and our tips

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Lucie Nguyen TanWTA #406Elo 1522clay 1525
2:0final6:1 6:4
Mireia Sagrista BermejoElo 1464clay 1463

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucie Nguyen Tan93%
Mireia Sagrista Bermejo7%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Nguyen Tan79%
2:1 L. Nguyen Tan14%
2:1 M. Sagrista Bermejo4%
2:0 M. Sagrista Bermejo3%

First set

Lucie Nguyen Tan88%
Mireia Sagrista Bermejo12%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes17%
no83%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 17.5 · 54%market (no margin): 49%

The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 18.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.582%18%93%
15.569%31%87%
16.557%43%78%
17.546%54%69%
18.537%63%60%
19.531%69%52%
20.525%75%46%

Sample: 544 matches

Games handicap

Lucie Nguyen Tan −7.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes12%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 17.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Lucie Nguyen TanMireia Sagrista Bermejo
—Aces—
0Double faults3
60%First serves in65%
74%First-serve points won53%
38%Second-serve points won17%
6/9Break points converted3/4
6/9Service games held2/8
60%Service points won40%
60%Return points won40%
62Total points won42

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. Nguyen TanTourM. Sagrista Bermejo
Service points won54%56%—
Return points won47%44%—
Service games held59%63%—
Breaks of serve42%37%—
Aces per service game0.15—
Double faults per game0.30—
Sets with a tie-break10%—
Tie-breaks won2/2—
Wins in straight sets50%—
Matches in the sample9—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucie Nguyen Tan

  • 08/09/26LAlina Granwehr#352WTA 125 Montreux · R323:6 7:5 4:6
  • 07/09/26WDalila Spiteri#377WTA 125 Montreux · Q24:6 6:4 6:2
  • 06/09/26WAmandine Monnot#326WTA 125 Montreux · Q11:6 6:3 7:6
  • 06/07/26LAlicia Herrero Linana#222WTA 125 Contrexeville · Q21:6 1:6
  • 05/07/26WYana MordergerWTA 125 Contrexeville · Q16:0 6:2
  • 29/04/26LMoyuka Uchijima#121WTA 125 Saint-Malo · R165:7 2:6
  • 28/04/26WAlice Tubello#218WTA 125 Saint-Malo · R327:6 6:3
  • 27/04/26WYasmine Kabbaj#255WTA 125 Saint-Malo · Q27:5 6:1
  • 26/04/26WManon Leonard#328WTA 125 Saint-Malo · Q17:5
  • 17/05/22LTamara Korpatsch#50WTA French Open · Q10:6 0:6

Mireia Sagrista Bermejo

Elo over the last year

Lucie Nguyen TanMireia Sagrista Bermejo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. Nguyen TanM. Sagrista Bermejo
Clay6–367%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.