ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Nishioka vs Svrcina 0:0: result and our tips

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Yoshihito NishiokaATP #218Elo 1889hard 1870
0:0retired2:5
Dalibor SvrcinaATP #126Elo 1814hard 1803

Our tips

Our tip
No tie-break74%

Where the number comes from: market alone 64% → with the players' profiles 74%

Nishioka: 6 matches in a row without a tie-break

Other tips

  • Svrcina to win62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Svrcina won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Nishioka to win the first set42%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Nishioka won the first set in 14 of the last 18 matches, Svrcina lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yoshihito Nishioka39%
Dalibor Svrcina62%

Elo: Y. Nishioka 60% · D. Svrcina 40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Nishioka23%
2:1 Y. Nishioka17%
2:1 D. Svrcina22%
2:0 D. Svrcina39%

First set

Yoshihito Nishioka42%
Dalibor Svrcina58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%72%
19.561%39%64%
20.556%44%56%
21.548%52%51%
22.542%58%43%
23.540%60%37%
24.537%63%36%

Sample: 5,690 matches

Games handicap

Dalibor Svrcina −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 34%

Match stats

Yoshihito NishiokaDalibor Svrcina
0Aces1
0Double faults1
48%First serves in36%
67%First-serve points won70%
38%Second-serve points won67%
0/5Break points converted1/5
2/3Service games held4/4
52%Service points won68%
32%Return points won48%
25Total points won34

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. NishiokaTourD. Svrcina
Service points won63%62%59%
Return points won42%38%44%
Service games held75%76%67%
Breaks of serve33%24%37%
Aces per service game0.280.24
Double faults per game0.130.41
Sets with a tie-break9%16%
Tie-breaks won3/412/22
Wins in straight sets79%73%
Matches in the sample1957

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yoshihito Nishioka

Dalibor Svrcina

Elo over the last year

Yoshihito NishiokaDalibor Svrcina

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. NishiokaD. Svrcina
Hard court14–574%15–1648%
Clay0–015–1060%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

Y. Nishioka 1–0 D. Svrcina

  • 18/01/23Winner: Yoshihito Nishioka6:3 6:4 6:2

Road through the tournament

Yoshihito Nishioka

Dalibor Svrcina