WTA BeijingWTA 1000Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Nosková vs Alexandrova 0:2: result and our tips

·

Linda NoskováWTA #8Elo 2115hard 2048
0:2final2:6 2:6
Ekaterina AlexandrovaWTA #24Elo 1923hard 1907

Our tips

Our tip
Noskova to win the first setLost70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Noskova won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Alexandrova lost the first set in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Noskova to winLost76%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 76%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Noskova won 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
A third setLost33%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in recent matches: Noskova 7 of 20, Alexandrova 10 of 20 (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Linda Nosková76%
Ekaterina Alexandrova24%

Elo: L. Nosková 69% · E. Alexandrova 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Nosková54%
2:1 L. Nosková21%
2:1 E. Alexandrova12%
2:0 E. Alexandrova13%

First set

Linda Nosková70%
Ekaterina Alexandrova30%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%28%72%
18.563%37%63%
19.555%45%55%
20.548%52%48%
21.543%57%43%
22.537%63%38%
23.533%67%34%

Sample: 1,574 matches

Games handicap

Linda Nosková −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 16 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Linda NoskováEkaterina Alexandrova
1Aces5
2Double faults6
60%First serves in47%
55%First-serve points won88%
48%Second-serve points won56%
0/4Break points converted4/5
4/8Service games held8/8
52%Service points won71%
29%Return points won48%
42Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. NoskováTourE. Alexandrova
Service points won62%56%58%
Return points won41%44%42%
Service games held79%63%70%
Breaks of serve31%37%31%
Aces per service game0.590.41
Double faults per game0.440.41
Sets with a tie-break12%12%
Tie-breaks won6/166/14
Wins in straight sets59%68%
Matches in the sample5651

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Linda Nosková

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Elo over the last year

Linda NoskováEkaterina Alexandrova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. NoskováE. Alexandrova
Hard court21–1264%19–1753%
Clay6–460%1–517%
Grass12–192%5–456%

Head to head

L. Nosková 1–1 E. Alexandrova

  • 16/04/26Winner: Linda Nosková6:1 6:1
  • 22/08/25Winner: Ekaterina Alexandrova6:7 6:4 2:6

Road through the tournament

Linda Nosková

Ekaterina Alexandrova

See also