WTA 125 RoveretoQualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Novak vs Werner 0:2: result and our tips

·

Kristina NovakWTA #648Elo 1425hard 1479
0:2final1:6 1:6
Caroline WernerWTA #267Elo 1495hard 1499

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kristina Novak11%
Caroline Werner89%

Elo: K. Novak 47% · C. Werner 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Novak6%
2:1 K. Novak6%
2:1 C. Werner17%
2:0 C. Werner72%

First set

Kristina Novak17%
Caroline Werner83%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes22%
no78%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 54%market (no margin): 52%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.578%22%87%
16.567%33%79%
17.557%43%70%
18.546%54%61%
19.539%61%53%
20.532%68%46%
21.528%73%42%

Sample: 906 matches

Games handicap

Caroline Werner −6.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes15%

tour average 21%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 18.5in · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Kristina NovakCaroline Werner
0Aces3
4Double faults3
57%First serves in70%
50%First-serve points won76%
38%Second-serve points won57%
0/3Break points converted5/10
2/7Service games held7/7
45%Service points won70%
30%Return points won55%
39Total points won64

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. NovakTourC. Werner
Service points won56%56%57%
Return points won46%44%44%
Service games held62%63%63%
Breaks of serve41%37%37%
Aces per service game0.200.18
Double faults per game0.420.26
Sets with a tie-break7%12%
Tie-breaks won0/15/9
Wins in straight sets100%62%
Matches in the sample631

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kristina Novak

  • 15/09/26LWeronika Falkowska#294WTA 125 Ljubljana · R326:2 6:7 2:6
  • 20/10/25LHaley Giavara#481WTA 125 Queretaro · Q25:7 6:4 4:6
  • 19/10/25WMarian Gomez Pezuela CanoWTA 125 Queretaro · Q16:3 6:4
  • 14/10/25LLeonie KungWTA 125 Tampico · R324:6 3:6
  • 12/10/25WSachia Vickery#687WTA 125 Tampico · Q16:2 6:3
  • 11/10/25WVictoria Hu#537WTA 125 Tampico · R166:1 6:4
  • 08/09/25LAnastasiia Sobolieva#167WTA 125 Ljubljana · R326:7 1:6

Caroline Werner

  • 08/10/26LAnna Blinkova#73WTA 125 Samsun · R162:6 3:6
  • 07/10/26WElvin EgribelWTA 125 Samsun · R326:0 6:0
  • 05/10/26WWeronika Falkowska#294WTA 125 Samsun · Q26:3 2:6 7:6
  • 04/10/26WEkaterina Yashina#519WTA 125 Samsun · Q16:3 3:6 6:2
  • 22/09/26LValentina Steiner#363WTA 125 Porto · R322:6 5:7
  • 15/09/26LMalaika Rapolu#298WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R322:6 4:6
  • 22/08/26LDarja Vidmanova#90WTA Monterrey · Q15:7 4:6
  • 21/07/26LMina Hodzic#277WTA 125 Palermo · R324:6 6:4 2:6
  • 12/07/26LIlinca Dalina Amariei#565WTA Iasi · Q16:0 4:6 2:6
  • 08/07/26LAlice Tubello#218WTA 125 Contrexeville · R163:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Kristina NovakCaroline Werner

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. NovakC. Werner
Hard court2–167%5–742%
Clay1–233%7–1041%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.