WTA 125 SuzhouRound of 32hardbest of three sets

Okamura vs Vidmanova 2:1: result and our tips

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Kyoka OkamuraWTA #244Elo 1602hard 1601
2:1final6:2 6:7(6) 6:1
Darja VidmanovaWTA #90Elo 1752hard 1737

Our tips

Our tip
Vidmanova to win 2-0Lost59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Okamura lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 17 matches, Vidmanova won 2-0 in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kyoka Okamura19%
Darja Vidmanova81%

Elo: K. Okamura 31% · D. Vidmanova 69%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Okamura10%
2:1 K. Okamura10%
2:1 D. Vidmanova21%
2:0 D. Vidmanova59%

First set

Kyoka Okamura26%
Darja Vidmanova74%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 50%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.578%22%81%
17.568%32%72%
18.558%42%63%
19.550%50%55%
20.543%57%48%
21.539%61%43%
22.534%66%38%

Sample: 1,339 matches

Games handicap

Darja Vidmanova −5.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 22%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 20.0out · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Kyoka OkamuraDarja Vidmanova
7Aces9
3Double faults3
61%First serves in52%
75%First-serve points won71%
64%Second-serve points won38%
5/11Break points converted1/1
13/14Service games held8/13
71%Service points won55%
45%Return points won29%
95Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. OkamuraTourD. Vidmanova
Service points won56%56%58%
Return points won44%44%44%
Service games held64%63%67%
Breaks of serve37%37%38%
Aces per service game0.200.36
Double faults per game0.280.21
Sets with a tie-break16%11%
Tie-breaks won2/68/14
Wins in straight sets75%65%
Matches in the sample1753

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kyoka Okamura

  • 05/10/26WSijia Wei#383WTA 125 Suzhou · Q26:3 6:2
  • 04/10/26WPriska Madelyn Nugroho#370WTA 125 Suzhou · Q16:3 7:6
  • 02/10/26LEmerson Jones#122WTA 125 Jingshan · QF6:7 6:7
  • 01/10/26WAlevtina Ibragimova#169WTA 125 Jingshan · R166:7 6:1 6:3
  • 29/09/26WRu Xi Wu#933WTA 125 Jingshan · R326:2 6:4
  • 21/09/26LLeylah Fernandez#25WTA Singapore · R322:6 3:6
  • 20/09/26WMei Yamaguchi#257WTA Singapore · Q26:1 6:1
  • 19/09/26WEva Marie Desvignes#873WTA Singapore · Q17:6 6:3
  • 28/07/26LHayu Kinoshita#221WTA 125 Vancouver · R321:6 4:6
  • 18/07/26LCarol Young Suh Lee#140WTA Prague · Q15:7 1:6

Darja Vidmanova

Elo over the last year

Kyoka OkamuraDarja Vidmanova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. OkamuraD. Vidmanova
Hard court8–947%25–1464%
Clay0–02–529%
Grass0–04–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Kyoka Okamura

  • 04/10/26WPriska Madelyn Nugroho#370WTA 125 Suzhou · Q16:3 7:6
  • 05/10/26WSijia Wei#383WTA 125 Suzhou · Q26:3 6:2

Darja Vidmanova

First match in this tournament.