ATP Almaty250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Omarkhanov vs Sakamoto 0:2: result and our tips

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Amir OmarkhanovATP #615Elo 1295hard 1314
0:2final2:6 1:6
Rei SakamotoATP #124Elo 1883hard 1867

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 20.5Won65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Omarkhanov: 5 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Amir Omarkhanov5%
Rei Sakamoto95%

Elo: A. Omarkhanov 4% · R. Sakamoto 96%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Omarkhanov3%
2:1 A. Omarkhanov3%
2:1 R. Sakamoto14%
2:0 R. Sakamoto80%

First set

Amir Omarkhanov13%
Rei Sakamoto87%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes17%
no83%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 47%market (no margin): 48%

The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.585%15%95%
16.576%24%91%
17.565%35%83%
18.553%47%75%
19.543%57%66%
20.535%65%58%
21.529%71%53%

Sample: 1,124 matches

Games handicap

Rei Sakamoto −5.557%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 36%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.0in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Amir OmarkhanovRei Sakamoto
5Aces1
4Double faults0
64%First serves in76%
55%First-serve points won89%
26%Second-serve points won44%
0/2Break points converted5/9
3/8Service games held7/7
44%Service points won78%
22%Return points won56%
31Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. OmarkhanovTourR. Sakamoto
Service points won57%62%66%
Return points won36%38%37%
Service games held65%76%84%
Breaks of serve18%24%21%
Aces per service game0.300.67
Double faults per game0.370.19
Sets with a tie-break0%24%
Tie-breaks won0/019/42
Wins in straight sets—62%
Matches in the sample572

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Amir Omarkhanov

  • 11/10/26LEtienne Donnet#702Challenger Roanne · Q11:6 5:7
  • 11/08/26LBeibit Zhukayev#526Challenger Astana · R323:6 4:6
  • 28/04/26LDenis Yevseyev#470Challenger Shymkent 2 · R323:6 2:6
  • 21/04/26LRadu Albot#560Challenger Shymkent · R321:6 4:6
  • 26/10/25LMichele Ribecai#288Challenger Monastir · Q13:6 3:6
  • 13/10/25LGabriel Diallo#149ATP Almaty · R323:6 1:6
  • 29/07/25LShintaro ImaiChallenger Astana · R322:6 6:7
  • 13/10/24LDaniel EvansATP Almaty · Q14:6 2:6
  • 18/07/24LSaba Purtseladze#575Challenger Astana · R163:6 4:6
  • 16/07/24WMaxim Zhukov#775Challenger Astana · R326:4 6:4

Rei Sakamoto

Elo over the last year

Amir OmarkhanovRei Sakamoto

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. OmarkhanovR. Sakamoto
Hard court0–30%34–1964%
Clay0–20%9–660%
Grass0–02–250%

Head to head

They have not met yet.