Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Ovcharenko vs Sakellaridis 2:0: result and our tips

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Oleksandr OvcharenkoATP #616Elo 1537clay 1547
2:0final6:1 6:3
Dimitris SakellaridisATP #559Elo 1508clay 1522

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: OvcharenkoWon63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ovcharenko: 3 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Oleksandr Ovcharenko67%
Dimitris Sakellaridis33%

Elo: O. Ovcharenko 54% · D. Sakellaridis 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Ovcharenko44%
2:1 O. Ovcharenko23%
2:1 D. Sakellaridis15%
2:0 D. Sakellaridis19%

First set

Oleksandr Ovcharenko63%
Dimitris Sakellaridis38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%68%
19.560%40%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%62%36%
24.535%65%34%

Sample: 4,335 matches

Games handicap

Oleksandr Ovcharenko −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Oleksandr OvcharenkoDimitris Sakellaridis
4Aces4
2Double faults4
64%First serves in56%
76%First-serve points won56%
63%Second-serve points won30%
5/6Break points converted1/2
7/8Service games held3/8
71%Service points won44%
56%Return points won29%
57Total points won33

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. OvcharenkoTourD. Sakellaridis
Service points won64%62%57%
Return points won40%38%42%
Service games held76%76%68%
Breaks of serve28%24%33%
Aces per service game0.250.24
Double faults per game0.190.28
Sets with a tie-break13%7%
Tie-breaks won2/51/3
Wins in straight sets67%67%
Matches in the sample1619

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Dimitris Sakellaridis

  • 06/10/26LZdenek Kolar#196Challenger Palermo · R324:6 4:6
  • 05/10/26WM. Cerny#705Challenger Palermo · Q23:6 6:1 7:6
  • 04/10/26WRobert Guna#872Challenger Palermo · Q17:5 6:4
  • 28/09/26LM. W. Donald#418Challenger Bari · Q25:7 6:7
  • 27/09/26WFilippo Francesco GarberoChallenger Bari · Q17:5 6:1
  • 21/09/26LLorenzo BertoChallenger Genoa 2 · Q26:1 5:7 4:6
  • 20/09/26WAlessandro CeppelliniChallenger Genoa 2 · Q16:3 6:2
  • 14/09/26LAlex Marti Pujolras#499Challenger Biella · Q21:6 1:6
  • 13/09/26WLorenzo BeraldoChallenger Biella · Q17:5 6:3
  • 17/08/26LOleksandr Ovcharenko#616Challenger Sion · Q26:3 3:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Oleksandr OvcharenkoDimitris Sakellaridis

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. OvcharenkoD. Sakellaridis
Hard court1–325%1–420%
Clay8–467%8–657%

Head to head

O. Ovcharenko 1–0 D. Sakellaridis

  • 17/08/26Winner: Oleksandr Ovcharenko3:6 6:3 6:4