Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Pacheco Mendez vs Estevez 2:1: result and our tips

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Rodrigo Pacheco MendezATP #266Elo 1731clay 1650
2:1final6:3 4:6 6:3
Juan EstevezATP #360Elo 1496clay 1501

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Pacheco MendezWon68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pacheco Mendez won the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Estevez lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Pacheco MendezWon75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Pacheco Mendez won 7 of the last 10 matches; Estevez lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez77%
Juan Estevez24%

Elo: R. Pacheco Mendez 70% · J. Estevez 30%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Pacheco Mendez53%
2:1 R. Pacheco Mendez23%
2:1 J. Estevez12%
2:0 J. Estevez13%

First set

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez70%
Juan Estevez30%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%76%
18.564%36%68%
19.556%44%59%
20.550%50%52%
21.544%56%47%
22.538%62%40%
23.535%65%36%

Sample: 2,895 matches

Games handicap

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 20.5out · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Rodrigo Pacheco MendezJuan Estevez
7Aces1
5Double faults3
57%First serves in76%
77%First-serve points won60%
50%Second-serve points won61%
4/14Break points converted2/5
12/14Service games held10/14
66%Service points won60%
40%Return points won35%
93Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. Pacheco MendezTourJ. Estevez
Service points won65%62%58%
Return points won38%38%44%
Service games held82%76%68%
Breaks of serve23%24%34%
Aces per service game0.420.14
Double faults per game0.260.21
Sets with a tie-break14%12%
Tie-breaks won4/175/10
Wins in straight sets67%82%
Matches in the sample5136

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

  • 20/09/26LIlia Simakin#154Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · F7:6 4:6 3:6
  • 19/09/26WMoise Kouame#201Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · SF2:6 6:3 6:4
  • 18/09/26WPhilip Sekulic#363Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · QF6:4 6:4
  • 16/09/26WArthur Weber#409Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R166:4 6:2
  • 14/09/26WSergio Callejon Hernando#522Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R326:3 7:5
  • 08/09/26LMax Purcell#685Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R323:6 4:6
  • 28/08/26LAndres Andrade#203Challenger Kingston 2 · SF3:6 6:3 4:6
  • 27/08/26WMiguel Tobon#506Challenger Kingston 2 · QF6:2 6:4
  • 26/08/26WMario Gonzalez Fernandez#648Challenger Kingston 2 · R166:3 6:3
  • 25/08/26WPaul Jubb#440Challenger Kingston 2 · R326:4 6:4

Juan Estevez

Elo over the last year

Rodrigo Pacheco MendezJuan Estevez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. Pacheco MendezJ. Estevez
Hard court19–1458%0–0
Clay8–1044%17–2046%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also