WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Paolini vs Bejlek 2:0: result and our tips

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Jasmine PaoliniWTA #33Elo 1944hard 1916
2:0final6:3 6:4
Sara BejlekWTA #30Elo 1904hard 1903

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jasmine Paolini47%
Sara Bejlek53%

Elo: J. Paolini 52% · S. Bejlek 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Paolini30%
2:1 J. Paolini19%
2:1 S. Bejlek19%
2:0 S. Bejlek32%

First set

Jasmine Paolini49%
Sara Bejlek51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,278 matches

Games handicap

Sara Bejlek −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jasmine PaoliniSara Bejlek
0Aces1
7Double faults4
63%First serves in51%
65%First-serve points won56%
32%Second-serve points won37%
6/15Break points converted4/12
6/10Service games held3/9
53%Service points won47%
53%Return points won47%
77Total points won68

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. PaoliniTourS. Bejlek
Service points won55%56%56%
Return points won43%44%47%
Service games held64%63%64%
Breaks of serve35%37%43%
Aces per service game0.140.11
Double faults per game0.190.27
Sets with a tie-break8%12%
Tie-breaks won1/77/13
Wins in straight sets44%78%
Matches in the sample3651

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jasmine Paolini

Sara Bejlek

Elo over the last year

Jasmine PaoliniSara Bejlek

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. PaoliniS. Bejlek
Hard court11–1248%21–1068%
Clay3–443%10–663%
Grass4–267%1–325%

Head to head

They have not met yet.