Paris vs Ghazouani Durand 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: T. Paris 38% · Y. Ghazouani Durand 62%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,642 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 21.5in · 27 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Tom Paris | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Aces | 3 |
| 2 | Double faults | 8 |
| 61% | First serves in | 56% |
| 66% | First-serve points won | 67% |
| 54% | Second-serve points won | 51% |
| 4/10 | Break points converted | 2/12 |
| 11/13 | Service games held | 10/14 |
| 61% | Service points won | 60% |
| 40% | Return points won | 39% |
| 97 | Total points won | 95 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Paris | Tour | Y. Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.50 | 0.30 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.35 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 6% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/7 | 1/3 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 18 | 21 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Tom Paris
- 27/09/26LNiels Visker#415Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q14:6 2:6
- 25/05/26LLukas Pokorny#565Challenger Kosice · R326:0 1:6 3:6
- 28/04/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#189Challenger Aix en Provence · Q24:6 4:6
- 27/04/26WLaurent Lokoli#348Challenger Aix en Provence · Q13:6 6:4 4:2
- 20/04/26LTung-Lin Wu#364Challenger Gwangju · Q24:6 0:6
- 19/04/26WYun Seong Chung#756Challenger Gwangju · Q17:5 0:6 6:4
- 06/04/26LIlia Simakin#154Challenger Wuning · R327:6 3:6 4:6
- 10/03/26LLucas Poullain#322Challenger Cherbourg-en-Cotentin · R324:6 6:7
- 03/03/26LOtto Virtanen#107Challenger Thionville · R324:6 6:1 6:7
- 22/02/26LRobin Catry#586Challenger St. Brieuc · Q13:6 4:6
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
- 29/09/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#152Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R323:6 2:6
- 28/09/26WLeonardo Rossi#545Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q26:4 7:5
- 27/09/26WEmile Hudd#463Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q12:6 6:2 6:3
- 20/09/26LKarl Poling#459Challenger Saint Tropez · Q12:6 1:6
- 17/09/26LFrancesco Maestrelli#171Challenger Rennes · R166:4 6:7 3:6
- 15/09/26WLeo Raquillet#710Challenger Rennes · R326:1 6:4
- 14/09/26WNikola Slavic#824Challenger Rennes · Q24:6 6:3 6:2
- 13/09/26WGijs Brouwer#847Challenger Rennes · Q16:3 2:6 6:4
- 10/09/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#152Challenger Cassis · R161:6 6:7
- 08/09/26WMaxime Janvier#640Challenger Cassis · R322:6 6:3 7:5
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Paris | Y. Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–940% | 11–665% |
| Clay | 1–233% | 1–325% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.