WTA TokyoWTA 500Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Parry vs Bucsa 0:2: result and our tips

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Diane ParryWTA #34Elo 1819hard 1770
0:2final5:7 1:6
Cristina BucsaWTA #42Elo 1777hard 1766

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Parry 16 of 20, Bucsa 17 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Parry: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won46%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Parry: 5 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Diane Parry48%
Cristina Bucsa52%

Elo: D. Parry 51% · C. Bucsa 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Parry31%
2:1 D. Parry19%
2:1 C. Bucsa19%
2:0 C. Bucsa32%

First set

Diane Parry49%
Cristina Bucsa51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,323 matches

Games handicap

Cristina Bucsa −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Diane ParryCristina Bucsa
2Aces2
1Double faults2
54%First serves in75%
63%First-serve points won81%
33%Second-serve points won36%
1/5Break points converted5/10
5/10Service games held8/9
49%Service points won70%
30%Return points won51%
49Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. ParryTourC. Bucsa
Service points won59%56%56%
Return points won41%44%45%
Service games held71%63%64%
Breaks of serve30%37%37%
Aces per service game0.380.12
Double faults per game0.320.29
Sets with a tie-break12%14%
Tie-breaks won7/146/13
Wins in straight sets67%75%
Matches in the sample5442

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Diane Parry

Cristina Bucsa

Elo over the last year

Diane ParryCristina Bucsa

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. ParryC. Bucsa
Hard court17–1553%20–1853%
Clay8–657%0–40%
Grass5–363%0–0

Head to head

D. Parry 1–0 C. Bucsa

  • 10/06/24Winner: Diane Parry6:3 6:2